Sport Picks

Iceland

Icelandic Cup Women 2024

Keflavik W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Grotta W play Keflavik W in the Icelandic Cup Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Grotta W averaged 2.47 goals scored and 2.84 conceded. Keflavik W averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Grotta W won 0, Keflavik W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 18, 2024 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.85 for Grotta W and 2.17 for Keflavik W. This points to a Grotta W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Grotta W

15%

Draws

42%

Keflavik W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grotta W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Grotta W picked up more points recently compared to Keflavik W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.85 vs 2.17 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 76%

Over 3.5 Goals 46%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%

Grotta W Clean Sheet 10%

Keflavik W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Grotta W	Keflavik W
Matches Played	19	30
Wins	8	9
Draws	0	3
Losses	11	18
Goals Scored	2.47	1.57
Goals Conceded	2.84	1.97
Expected Goals (xG)	3.33	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.33	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2024 Icelandic Cup Women

Grotta W vs Keflavik W

Possession: 53% - 49% Cards: 3 - 4

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grotta W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.56

Avg xA / game 1.67

Keflavik W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ros Magnusdottir A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Forbes M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grotta W 41 / 100

Keflavik W 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Grotta W Keflavik W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Grotta W or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.7%

1.43

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Grotta W attacking → ← attacking Keflavik W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grotta W scored in 89% of their last 19 games.

Keflavik W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Grotta W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Keflavik W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 30

3.33 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

2.33 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38