Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Groupe Bazano vs Lubumbashi Sport

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Groupe Bazano
28%
Draws
50%
Lubumbashi Sport
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Lubumbashi Sport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Groupe Bazano haven't matched Lubumbashi Sport's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lubumbashi Sport's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Groupe Bazano Clean Sheet 20%
Lubumbashi Sport Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Groupe Bazano Lubumbashi Sport
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 9 10
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2026 Ligue 1
Groupe Bazano vs Lubumbashi Sport
1:1
Nov 7, 2025 Ligue 1
Lubumbashi Sport vs Groupe Bazano
1:1
Apr 10, 2025 Ligue 1
Groupe Bazano vs Lubumbashi Sport
3:0
Oct 6, 2024 Ligue 1
Lubumbashi Sport vs Groupe Bazano
3:0
Dec 27, 2023 Ligue 1
Groupe Bazano vs Lubumbashi Sport
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Groupe Bazano 24 / 100
Lubumbashi Sport 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Groupe Bazano Lubumbashi Sport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Groupe Bazano scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Lubumbashi Sport let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Groupe Bazano has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Groupe Bazano VS Lubumbashi Sport
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Groupe Bazano

(Home)
12 Apr
St Eloi Lupopo
2 : 0
Groupe Bazano
10 Apr
Groupe Bazano
3 : 1
New Soger
27 Mar
Saint-Luc
1 : 1
Groupe Bazano
15 Mar
Tanganyika
2 : 1
Groupe Bazano
10 Mar
Blessing
0 : 0
Groupe Bazano
Page 1 of 6

Lubumbashi Sport

(Away)
02 Apr
Lubumbashi Sport
3 : 2
Tanganyika
30 Mar
Lubumbashi Sport
2 : 1
US Panda
26 Mar
Lubumbashi Sport
3 : 1
Tshikas
22 Mar
New Soger
4 : 2
Lubumbashi Sport
07 Mar
Simba
1 : 2
Lubumbashi Sport
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazembe30234357:1273
2St Eloi Lupopo30196555:2763
3Don Bosco30168643:2456
4Simba30148833:2750
5Manika301212631:2048
6Tanganyika301351238:3244
7Lubumbashi Sport301110927:2643
8Blessing301171233:3140
9Sanga Balende301061425:3436
10Saint-Luc30981321:3335
11Malole30961534:3933
12New Soger30961529:4033
13Tshinkunku307101323:4131
14Groupe Bazano30791426:3830
15Tshikas306101425:4028
16US Panda30512417:5916
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AS Maniema271313138:1052
2AS Vita Club271311335:1350
3Aigles du Congo26139432:1648
4Dauphins Noirs26136735:2045
5Celeste26128636:1344
6Etoile de Kivu261061034:3536
7Motema Pembe26714533:2535
8Anges Verts26611926:3229
9New Jack26611920:2629
10AC Rangers27781221:3529
11FC MK Etancheite26681215:3526
12FC Renaissance274131021:4025
13OC Renaissance264101214:3322
14Bukavu Dawa26281610:3714
15Martin Pecheur00000:00
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)