Sport Picks

Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2018/2019

Grove

Sat, Sep 29, 2018

3 - 4

12:30 PM

Abbey Villa

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-4, with Abbey Villa advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Grove

30%

Draws

34%

Abbey Villa

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grove

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Abbey Villa come out ahead of Grove on wins alone.
Grove are the model's pick here, at 36%.
Abbey Villa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Abbey Villa, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 89%

Over 3.5 Goals 75%

Over 4.5 Goals 34%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%

Grove Clean Sheet 10%

Abbey Villa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Grove	Abbey Villa
Matches Played	14	21
Wins	6	10
Draws	0	1
Losses	8	10
Goals Scored	3.13	2.5
Goals Conceded	2.88	2
Expected Goals (xG)	3.13	2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.88	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2018 Irish Cup

Grove vs Abbey Villa

3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grove 34 / 100

Abbey Villa 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Grove Abbey Villa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Abbey Villa has conceded goals in 90% of their last 21 outings.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Grove's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 14 recent games.

Recent resilience: Grove stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grove VS Abbey Villa

3.13 Goals Scored 2.5

2.88 Goals Conceded 2

88% Over 1.5 100%

88% Over 2.5 100%

75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Grove

(Home)

17 Aug

Grove

2 : 4

Newcastle

29 Sept

Grove

3 : 4

Abbey Villa

18 Aug

Grove

5 : 2

Chimney

19 Aug

Markethill

2 : 1

Grove

03 Dec

Richhill

6 : 2

Grove

Page 1 of 3

Abbey Villa

(Away)

23 Jul

Abbey Villa

2 : 2

Ards

17 Aug

St. James' Swifts

4 : 1

Abbey Villa

05 Jan

Portadown

5 : 1

Abbey Villa

01 Dec

Tullycarnet

3 : 4

Abbey Villa

03 Nov

Shorts

1 : 3

Abbey Villa

Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/256-finals

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

PSNI -

Ards -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Islandmagee 6

Cookstown Youth 1

Aquinas 3

Foundry 4

Moneyslane FC -

TBD -

Bangor Swifts 1

Crumlin United 2

Newtowne FC 6

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 3

Broomhedge 1

Ballynahinch Olympic 12

Annagh -

TBD -

Rosemount Rec -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Larne Technical Old Boys 2

St Luke's 0

TBD -

Dundonald -

Dunmurry Rec 4

Mossley FC 3

Iveagh Utd 2

Dungiven 5

Lurgan Town Boys -

TBD -

Ballynure Old Boys 2

Desertmartin 3

Armagh -

TBD -

Hanover 0

Dunloy 2

TBD -

Limavady -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

St. James' Swifts 2

Sofia Farmer 1

Seapatrick 1

Coagh Utd 6

Ards Rangers -

TBD -

Holywood 1

Newbuildings 2

Banbridge -

TBD -

Dunmurry Y.M. 4

Rathfriland Rangers 5

Ballymoney 2

Rosario Youth 1

Derriaghy 1

Strabane Athletic 2

Queens University -

TBD -

Dollingstown -

Ardstraw 7

Dromore Amateurs 0

TBD -

Tobermore -

Brantwood 4

Orangefield Old Boys' 2

Saintfield 1

Laurelvale 3

Valley Rangers 3

Tandragee 2

TBD -

Newington FC -

Comber Rec 1

Immaculata 0

Dromara 1

Lisburn Rangers 2

Downshire Y.M. -

TBD -

Drumaness -

Shankill -

TBD -

Bangor Old Boys -

Wellington Rec -

TBD -

Lisburn Distillery -

Institute -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Maiden City 9

Malachians 2

Lower Maze 2

Trojans 3

Ballynahinch United 3

Groomsport 2

TBD -

Seagoe -

Lurgan Celtic -

TBD -

Woodvale 2

St. Patricks Young 3

Oxford Sunnyside 6

Bryansburn 3

TBD -

Portstewart -

TBD -

Dergview -

Crumlin Star -

TBD -

Markethill 3

Killyleagh Youth 5

Banbridge Rangers 2

Sirocco 0

Glebe 1

Bangor FC 2

Sport & Leisure -

TBD -

Ballymacash 1

Kilmore Rec 3

Moyola -

TBD -

Crewe -

TBD -

Loughgall -

Newry City -

TBD -

Larne -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Dundela -

Abbey Villa -

TBD -

Chimney 2

Grove 5

Colin Valley 2

Suffolk 1

Silverwood 1

Shorts 8

Fivemiletown 7

Bloomfield 0

Oxford Stars 0

Wakehurst 1

Bangor Amateurs FC 3

Newcastle 2

Tullyvallen Rangers 3

Tullycarnet 4

TBD -

Portadown -

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/128-finals

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

PSNI -

Ards -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Islandmagee 2

Foundry 1

Moneyslane FC 1

Crumlin United 5

Newtowne FC 1

Ballynahinch Olympic 0

Annagh 1

Rosemount Rec 2

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Larne Technical Old Boys 3

Dundonald 0

Dunmurry Rec 1

Dungiven 4

Lurgan Town Boys 4

Desertmartin 1

Armagh 0

Dunloy 2

TBD -

Limavady -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

St. James' Swifts 4

Coagh Utd 2

Ards Rangers 0

Newbuildings 2

Banbridge 3

Rathfriland Rangers 1

Ballymoney 1

Strabane Athletic 5

Queens University 4

Dollingstown 3

Ardstraw 3

Tobermore 5

Brantwood 2

Laurelvale 1

Valley Rangers 1

Newington FC 3

Comber Rec 4

Lisburn Rangers 1

Downshire Y.M. 0

Drumaness 4

Shankill 2

Bangor Old Boys 1

Wellington Rec 0

Lisburn Distillery 2

Institute -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Maiden City 3

Trojans 1

Ballynahinch United 3

Seagoe 4

Lurgan Celtic -

St. Patricks Young -

Oxford Sunnyside -

Portstewart -

TBD -

Dergview -

Crumlin Star 3

Killyleagh Youth 2

Banbridge Rangers 0

Bangor FC 2

Sport & Leisure 2

Kilmore Rec 1

Moyola 1

Crewe 2

TBD -

Loughgall -

Newry City -

TBD -

Larne -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Dundela -

Abbey Villa 4

Grove 3

Colin Valley 3

Shorts 4

Fivemiletown 3

Wakehurst 2

Bangor Amateurs FC 0

Tullycarnet 1

TBD -

Portadown -

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/64-finals

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

PSNI -

Ards -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Islandmagee 3

Crumlin United 1

Newtowne FC 1

Rosemount Rec 2

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Larne Technical Old Boys 2

Dungiven 1

Lurgan Town Boys 1

Dunloy 2

TBD -

Limavady -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

St. James' Swifts 2

Newbuildings 0

Banbridge 0

Strabane Athletic 2

Queens University 6

Tobermore 3

Brantwood 2

Newington FC 3

Comber Rec 2

Drumaness 1

Shankill 2

Lisburn Distillery 4

Institute -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Maiden City 4

Seagoe 1

Lurgan Celtic 2

Portstewart 3

TBD -

Dergview -

Crumlin Star 5

Bangor FC 3

Sport & Leisure 0

Crewe 1

TBD -

Loughgall -

Newry City -

TBD -

Larne -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Dundela -

Abbey Villa 3

Shorts 1

Fivemiletown 1

Tullycarnet 2

TBD -

Portadown -

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/32-finals

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

PSNI -

Ards -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Islandmagee 1

Rosemount Rec 3

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Larne Technical Old Boys 2

Dunloy 0

TBD -

Limavady -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

St. James' Swifts 0

Strabane Athletic 2

Queens University 4

Newington FC 1

Comber Rec 3

Lisburn Distillery 4

Institute -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Maiden City 1

Portstewart 0

TBD -

Dergview -

Crumlin Star 2

Crewe 1

TBD -

Loughgall -

Newry City -

TBD -

Larne -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Dundela -

Abbey Villa 4

Tullycarnet 3

TBD -

Portadown -

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/16-finals

Ballinamallard 5

PSNI 1

Ards 0

Carrick Rangers 1

Glenavon 5

Rosemount Rec 0

Cliftonville 0

Dungannon 1

Larne Technical Old Boys 2

Limavady 0

Knockbreda 1

Strabane Athletic 2

Queens University 6

Lisburn Distillery 0

Institute 0

Warrenpoint 2

Coleraine 2

Harland & Wolff 0

Maiden City 2

Dergview 3

Crumlin Star 4

Loughgall 1

Newry City 1

Larne 2

Ballymena 3

Dundela 1

Abbey Villa 1

Portadown 5

Linfield 1

Ballyclare 0

Glentoran 1

Crusaders 4

1/8-finals

Ballinamallard 1

Carrick Rangers 0

Glenavon 0

Dungannon 1

Larne Technical Old Boys 3

Strabane Athletic 1

Queens University 0

Warrenpoint 2

Coleraine 3

Dergview 0

Crumlin Star 1

Larne 3

Ballymena 4

Portadown 1

Linfield 1

Crusaders 2

Quarter-finals

Ballinamallard 3

Dungannon 2

Larne Technical Old Boys 1

Warrenpoint 3

Coleraine 5

Larne 3

Ballymena 0

Crusaders 3

Semi-finals

Ballinamallard 1

Warrenpoint 0

Coleraine 0

Crusaders 2

Final

Ballinamallard 0

Crusaders 3

Grove vs Abbey Villa

Northern Ireland

Grove

Abbey Villa

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Grove

Abbey Villa

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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