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Grue vs Moelven

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Moelven in this Division 3 - Group 3 2014 matchup, with the score ending 0-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Moelven.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Grue
15%
Draws
85%
Moelven
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moelven

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Moelven lately — more wins on the board than Grue.
  • Model gives Moelven a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Grue Clean Sheet 10%
Moelven Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grue Moelven
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 7
Draws 3 5
Losses 25 18
Goals Scored 0.67 1.53
Goals Conceded 4.2 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2014 Division 3 - Group 3
Grue vs Moelven
0:7
Jun 19, 2014 Division 3 - Group 3
Moelven vs Grue
4:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grue 10 / 100
Moelven 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grue Moelven

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moelven Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moelven's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 7.50 goals as a typical output.

Moelven's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Grue found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Grue VS Moelven
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
5.13 Goals Conceded 3.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Grue

(Home)
24 Oct
Skjetten
9 : 0
Grue
17 Oct
Grue
0 : 8
Asker
12 Oct
Ull/Kisa 2
14 : 0
Grue
05 Oct
Grue
0 : 6
Ham-Kam 2
26 Sept
Gjerdrum Idrettslag
9 : 1
Grue
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Moelven

(Away)
24 Oct
Moelven
1 : 0
Buvik
17 Oct
Gjovik-Lyn 2
5 : 2
Moelven
10 Oct
Moelven
1 : 3
Flisa
03 Oct
Tynset
3 : 0
Moelven
26 Sept
Moelven
2 : 4
FK Kvik
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