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Grumellese vs Lumezzane Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group B 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2017/2018 game between Grumellese and Lumezzane finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lumezzane.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Grumellese
35%
Draws
25%
Lumezzane
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Grumellese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Lumezzane carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Grumellese Clean Sheet 19%
Lumezzane Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grumellese Lumezzane
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.47 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Lumezzane vs Grumellese
1:2
Oct 22, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Grumellese vs Lumezzane
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grumellese 31 / 100
Lumezzane 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grumellese Lumezzane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grumellese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grumellese found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Lumezzane conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Grumellese went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lumezzane
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Grumellese

(Home)
06 May
Grumellese
2 : 1
Lecco
29 Apr
Darfo Boario
0 : 1
Grumellese
22 Apr
Grumellese
2 : 2
Ciliverghe Mazzano
15 Apr
Levico Terme
0 : 0
Grumellese
08 Apr
Grumellese
1 : 2
Trento
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Lumezzane

(Away)
03 Oct
Inter
2 : 0
Lumezzane
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2
Folgore Caratese
21 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2
Lumezzane
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0
Novara
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2
Renate
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pro Patria 36 23 10 3 58:22 79
2 Rezzato 36 24 6 6 84:35 78
3 Ponte San Pietro 36 21 7 8 67:44 70
4 Pergolettese 36 19 10 7 57:37 67
5 Darfo Boario 36 18 8 10 51:30 62
6 Ciserano-Bergamo 36 18 4 14 57:46 58
7 Lecco 36 16 10 10 46:35 58
8 Crema 36 13 9 14 43:40 48
9 Bustese Milano City 36 12 11 13 44:43 47
10 Caravaggio 36 12 11 13 47:52 47
11 Ciliverghe Mazzano 36 12 9 15 47:46 45
12 Levico Terme 36 11 11 14 45:56 44
13 Trento 36 12 7 17 42:64 43
14 Scanzorosciate 36 12 7 17 41:51 43
15 Lumezzane 36 11 9 16 37:51 42
16 Ciserano 36 8 12 16 42:58 36
17 Grumellese 36 9 7 20 34:55 34
18 USD Dro 36 6 13 17 33:62 31
19 Calcio Romanese 36 2 5 29 30:78 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2017/2018 (Play Offs)