Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023

GS Loures

1 - 2

Mortagua FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mortagua FC in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mortagua FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

GS Loures

22%

Draws

18%

Mortagua FC

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: GS Loures

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Mortagua FC have won more games recently than GS Loures.
GS Loures are the model's pick here, at 60%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%

GS Loures Clean Sheet 68%

Mortagua FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	GS Loures	Mortagua FC
Matches Played	29	32
Wins	9	16
Draws	7	6
Losses	13	10
Goals Scored	0	1.25
Goals Conceded	0	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

GS Loures vs Mortagua FC

Possession: 57% - 43% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Sep 18, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

Mortagua FC vs GS Loures

Possession: 53% - 50% Cards: 2 - 2

4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GS Loures 68 / 100

Mortagua FC 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

GS Loures Mortagua FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOU Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

GS Loures's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Mortagua FC let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Recent resilience: GS Loures stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mortagua FC

0 Goals Scored 1.25

0 Goals Conceded 1.63

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	1º Dezembro	25	15	5	5	37:19	50
2	Pero Pinheiro	25	15	7	4	34:24	49
3	Santarem	25	13	9	3	40:14	48
4	Marinhense	25	12	6	7	31:24	42
5	SB Castelo Branco	25	10	10	5	33:27	40
6	Mortagua FC	25	9	9	7	41:38	36
7	Sertanense	25	9	9	7	30:25	36
8	Sintrense	25	10	9	7	34:25	36
9	GD Coruchense	25	8	9	9	30:28	30
10	Uniao Da Serra	25	9	3	13	31:40	30
11	GS Loures	25	6	7	12	26:41	25
12	Arronches Benfica	25	5	4	16	15:39	19
13	Alcains	25	4	2	19	23:47	14
14	Rio Maior SC	0	1	0	12	0:0	0