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Stadium Background

Guabira vs Nacional Potosi

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional Estadio Gilberto Parada
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Zeballos L.
34' Event
Torrico A.
40'
Peredo G.

AI Match Summary

The Division Profesional game between Guabira and Nacional Potosi finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guabira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Guabira
20%
Draws
38%
Nacional Potosi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guabira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nacional Potosi come out ahead of Guabira on wins alone.
  • Model gives Guabira a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Guabira Clean Sheet 12%
Nacional Potosi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guabira Nacional Potosi
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Division Profesional
Guabira vs Nacional Potosi
2:1
Aug 24, 2025 Division Profesional
Guabira vs Nacional Potosi
1:0
Apr 14, 2025 Division Profesional
Nacional Potosi vs Guabira
3:0
Oct 24, 2024 Division Profesional
Nacional Potosi vs Guabira
3:0
May 26, 2024 Division Profesional
Guabira vs Nacional Potosi
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guabira Compare

Top Goalscorer Cristobal R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Peredo G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Nacional Potosi Compare

Top Goalscorer Torrico A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guabira 40 / 100
Nacional Potosi 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guabira Nacional Potosi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guabira found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Nacional Potosi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Guabira has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guabira VS Nacional Potosi
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Always Ready1072124:523
2The Strongest963015:821
3Bolivar1053224:1018
4Aurora944114:916
5Real Potosi934214:713
6Blooming934215:1113
7Nacional Potosi933312:1012
8Independiente933313:1512
9Academia del Balompie940516:2112
10Real Oruro932417:2211
11Guabira1032514:2411
12Oriente Petrolero931511:1310
13Club Universitario de Vinto1031615:2010
14Tomayapo92257:208
15San Antonio Bulo Bulo921610:197
16GV San Jose913510:176