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Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs Club America U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Sat, Feb 14, 2026
1 - 2
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Latorre D.
71' Event
Soldati C.
84' Event
Araujo Munoz A. M.

AI Match Summary

Guadalajara Chivas U21 host Club America U21 in the Liga MX U21. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Guadalajara Chivas U21 have averaged 1.88 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Club America U21's 2 scored and 1.25 conceded. Head-to-head, Guadalajara Chivas U21 have won 2 to Club America U21's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.69) point toward Guadalajara Chivas U21. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Guadalajara Chivas U21
6%
Draws
4%
Club America U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Guadalajara Chivas U21 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Club America U21.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Guadalajara Chivas U21.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga MX U21 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Guadalajara Chivas U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Club America U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalajara Chivas U21 Club America U21
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 16 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.88 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Liga MX U21
Club America U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
0:0
May 14, 2026 Liga MX U21
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs Club America U21
4:1
Feb 14, 2026 Liga MX U21
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs Club America U21
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 Liga MX U21
Club America U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadalajara Chivas U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Soldati C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Club America U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Araujo Munoz A. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalajara Chivas U21 95 / 100
Club America U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalajara Chivas U21 Club America U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadalajara Chivas U21 scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

Club America U21 let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Guadalajara Chivas U21 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Club America U21 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guadalajara Chivas U21 VS Club America U21
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club America U2117120532:2032
2Guadalajara Chivas U2117100726:1932
3Juarez U2117110623:1832
4Monterrey U2117110627:2530
5Pachuca U211790830:1829
6Toluca U211790832:2229
7Atlas U2117100721:2329
8UNAM Pumas U2117110623:2628
9Club Leon U211790818:1627
10Necaxa U2117100723:2526
11Tigres UANL U211780920:1824
12Atletico San Luis U211780925:2424
13Club Tijuana U2117601128:2322
14Cruz Azul U2117701017:2122
15Puebla U2117501217:2220
16Queretaro U211780920:2720
17Santos Laguna U2117501216:2520
18Mazatlan FC U211740135:3113