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Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs Tigres UANL U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guadalajara Chivas U21 host Tigres UANL U21 in the Liga MX U21. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Tigres UANL U21 have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Guadalajara Chivas U21 have conceded 1.2 and scored 1.6. Past meetings favor Guadalajara Chivas U21 slightly — 1-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.13) point toward Guadalajara Chivas U21. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Guadalajara Chivas U21
15%
Draws
28%
Tigres UANL U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guadalajara Chivas U21 come out ahead of Tigres UANL U21 on wins alone.
  • Guadalajara Chivas U21 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Guadalajara Chivas U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Tigres UANL U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalajara Chivas U21 Tigres UANL U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 12
Draws 4 0
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.6 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Liga MX U21
Tigres UANL U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
1:2
Nov 22, 2025 Liga MX U21
Tigres UANL U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
2:2
Nov 19, 2025 Liga MX U21
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs Tigres UANL U21
1:1
Sep 17, 2025 Liga MX U21
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs Tigres UANL U21
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalajara Chivas U21 40 / 100
Tigres UANL U21 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalajara Chivas U21 Tigres UANL U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guadalajara Chivas U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadalajara Chivas U21's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Tigres UANL U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Guadalajara Chivas U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guadalajara Chivas U21 VS Tigres UANL U21
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalajara Chivas U21

(Home)
02 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0
Juarez U21
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 4
Queretaro U21
19 Sept
Club America U21
1 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas U21
13 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0
UNAM Pumas U21
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
1 : 3
Guadalajara Chivas U21
Page 1 of 6

Tigres UANL U21

(Away)
09 Oct
Tigres UANL U21
1 : 2
Toluca U21
26 Sept
Tigres UANL U21
2 : 1
Puebla U21
18 Sept
Juarez U21
2 : 1
Tigres UANL U21
13 Sept
Monterrey U21
1 : 2
Tigres UANL U21
05 Sept
Tigres UANL U21
0 : 1
Necaxa U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca U21 11 11 0 0 22:8 30
2 Club Leon U21 11 10 0 1 21:10 27
3 Club Tijuana U21 10 7 0 3 18:12 21
4 Guadalajara Chivas U21 10 6 0 4 16:14 18
5 Puebla U21 11 5 0 6 12:11 17
6 Club America U21 10 5 0 5 14:14 15
7 Santos Laguna U21 10 5 0 5 10:12 15
8 Monterrey U21 9 5 0 4 19:13 14
9 Necaxa U21 10 5 0 5 11:15 14
10 Atletico San Luis U21 10 5 0 5 17:19 13
11 Pachuca U21 10 3 0 7 10:15 13
12 Atlante U21 10 4 0 6 14:20 13
13 Cruz Azul U21 10 5 0 5 18:16 12
14 Atlas U21 10 3 0 7 13:13 12
15 UNAM Pumas U21 10 3 0 7 10:14 12
16 Juarez U21 10 4 0 6 9:12 11
17 Tigres UANL U21 11 3 0 8 11:21 10
18 Queretaro U21 9 2 0 7 10:16 6
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)