Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Sun, Sep 13, 2026
1 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
(Penalty)
1' Event
(Penalty)
2' Event
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Guadalajara Chivas U21 in this Liga MX U21 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guadalajara Chivas U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Guadalajara Chivas U21
15%
Draws
28%
UNAM Pumas U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guadalajara Chivas U21 lately — more wins on the board than UNAM Pumas U21.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Guadalajara Chivas U21 taking it.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Guadalajara Chivas U21 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Guadalajara Chivas U21 Clean Sheet 68%
UNAM Pumas U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalajara Chivas U21 UNAM Pumas U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 4 2
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.66 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga MX U21
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21
1:0
Apr 5, 2026 Liga MX U21
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21
3:4
Oct 5, 2025 Liga MX U21
UNAM Pumas U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalajara Chivas U21 68 / 100
UNAM Pumas U21 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalajara Chivas U21 UNAM Pumas U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guadalajara Chivas U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Guadalajara Chivas U21 scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

UNAM Pumas U21 let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Guadalajara Chivas U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guadalajara Chivas U21 VS UNAM Pumas U21
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalajara Chivas U21

(Home)
10 Oct
Atlas U21
0 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas U21
02 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0
Juarez U21
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 4
Queretaro U21
19 Sept
Club America U21
1 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas U21
13 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0
UNAM Pumas U21
Page 1 of 6

UNAM Pumas U21

(Away)
11 Oct
UNAM Pumas U21
2 : 1
Cruz Azul U21
27 Sept
UNAM Pumas U21
1 : 2
Atletico San Luis U21
19 Sept
Atlas U21
1 : 2
UNAM Pumas U21
13 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0
UNAM Pumas U21
06 Sept
UNAM Pumas U21
1 : 2
Club Leon U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca U21 11 11 0 0 22:8 30
2 Club Leon U21 11 10 0 1 21:10 27
3 Club Tijuana U21 11 7 0 4 18:13 21
4 Guadalajara Chivas U21 11 7 0 4 18:14 21
5 Club America U21 11 6 0 5 17:14 18
6 Puebla U21 11 5 0 6 12:11 17
7 Atlante U21 11 5 0 6 17:22 16
8 Santos Laguna U21 10 5 0 5 10:12 15
9 Monterrey U21 10 5 0 5 19:16 14
10 Juarez U21 11 5 0 6 10:12 14
11 Necaxa U21 10 5 0 5 11:15 14
12 Atletico San Luis U21 10 5 0 5 17:19 13
13 Pachuca U21 10 3 0 7 10:15 13
14 Cruz Azul U21 10 5 0 5 18:16 12
15 Atlas U21 11 3 0 8 13:15 12
16 UNAM Pumas U21 10 3 0 7 10:14 12
17 Tigres UANL U21 11 3 0 8 11:21 10
18 Queretaro U21 10 2 0 8 12:19 6
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)