Sport Picks
Guadalajara Chivas vs Juarez Prediction & H2H Stats
Mexico
Liga MX Estadio Akron, Zapopan 
Match Events
46'
46'
Ortega H.
61'
61'
Sub
Carrillo J. In: Alvarez E.
Out: Carrillo J.
66'
66'
Sub
Aquino J. In: Nevarez Pulgarin F. J.
Out: Aquino J.
AI Match Summary
Guadalajara Chivas in this Liga MX matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guadalajara Chivas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
20%
22%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Guadalajara Chivas lately — more wins on the board than Juarez.
- Win probability leans Guadalajara Chivas's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Guadalajara Chivas Clean Sheet 20%
Juarez Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guadalajara Chivas | Juarez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 Liga MX
Guadalajara Chivas vs Juarez
1:0
Jan 14, 2026 Liga MX
Juarez vs Guadalajara Chivas
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 Liga MX
Guadalajara Chivas vs Juarez
1:2
Mar 16, 2025 Liga MX
Juarez vs Guadalajara Chivas
1:1
Aug 31, 2024 Liga MX
Guadalajara Chivas vs Juarez
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guadalajara Chivas Compare
Top Goalscorer Alvarado R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Juarez Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guadalajara Chivas 85 / 100
Juarez 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guadalajara Chivas Juarez
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guadalajara Chivas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Juarez let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.
Guadalajara Chivas scored in 78% of their last 27 games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Guadalajara Chivas has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Guadalajara Chivas VS Juarez
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Guadalajara Chivas
(Home) 26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
0 : 2 Queretaro
20 Sept
Club America
2 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas
14 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
3 : 0 UNAM Pumas
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis
0 : 3 Guadalajara Chivas
29 Aug
Pachuca
1 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
0 : 2 Queretaro
14 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
3 : 0 UNAM Pumas
22 Aug
Guadalajara Chivas
5 : 2 Club Tijuana
09 Aug
Guadalajara Chivas
0 : 1 FC Dallas
25 Jul
Guadalajara Chivas
1 : 0 Juarez
Page 1 of 3
Juarez
(Away) 28 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 1 Juarez
19 Sept
Juarez
2 : 0 Tigres UANL
14 Sept
Santos Laguna
2 : 1 Juarez
05 Sept
Juarez
0 : 2 Pachuca
31 Aug
Toluca
4 : 0 Juarez
Page 1 of 6
28 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 1 Juarez
14 Sept
Santos Laguna
2 : 1 Juarez
31 Aug
Toluca
4 : 0 Juarez
16 Aug
Monterrey
6 : 1 Juarez
12 Aug
Real Salt Lake
3 : 0 Juarez
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23:12 | 20 |
| 2 | Club America | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 18 |
| 4 | Queretaro | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 17 |
| 5 | Club Leon | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 6 | Atlas | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:17 | 17 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 16 |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 9 | Puebla | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | 14 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Pachuca | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:11 | 12 |
| 12 | UNAM Pumas | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:18 | 12 |
| 14 | Atlante | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | 8 |
| 18 | Juarez | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7:25 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
