Sport Picks
Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga MX Estadio Akron, Zapopan 
AI Match Summary
Guadalajara Chivas host Necaxa in the Liga MX. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Guadalajara Chivas at 1.69 goals for, 1.03 against; Necaxa at 1.25 for, 1.71 against. Head-to-head, Guadalajara Chivas have won 3 to Necaxa's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 23, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 2.19 vs 1.06, favoring Guadalajara Chivas. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Guadalajara Chivas carry the better recent record into this one.
- Guadalajara Chivas are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guadalajara Chivas | Necaxa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Necaxa let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Guadalajara Chivas found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Recent resilience: Guadalajara Chivas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Guadalajara Chivas
(Home)Necaxa
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 27:14 | 24 |
| 2 | Toluca | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 26:16 | 21 |
| 3 | Atlas | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 21 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 5 | Cruz Azul | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 6 | Queretaro | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 7 | Club Leon | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 18 |
| 8 | Santos Laguna | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 17:16 | 16 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | 16 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:20 | 16 |
| 11 | Puebla | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:13 | 16 |
| 12 | Monterrey | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 13 | Tigres UANL | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14:16 | 14 |
| 14 | Pachuca | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18:14 | 13 |
| 15 | Atletico San Luis | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:21 | 13 |
| 16 | Atlante | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13:19 | 11 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15:25 | 9 |
| 18 | Juarez | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8:31 | 4 |
