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Guadalajara Chivas vs Queretaro Prediction & H2H Stats

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Akron, Zapopan
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Avila A.
Assist: Gimenez E.
41'
Duarte B.
46'
Sub
Gonzalez F. In: Ledezma R.
Out: Gonzalez F.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX game between Guadalajara Chivas and Queretaro finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Queretaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Guadalajara Chivas
30%
Draws
39%
Queretaro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Queretaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Queretaro haven't matched Guadalajara Chivas's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Guadalajara Chivas's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Guadalajara Chivas Clean Sheet 68%
Queretaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalajara Chivas Queretaro
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.67 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Liga MX
Guadalajara Chivas vs Queretaro
0:2
Jan 17, 2026 Liga MX
Guadalajara Chivas vs Queretaro
2:1
Oct 23, 2025 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Guadalajara Chivas
1:0
Feb 1, 2025 Liga MX
Guadalajara Chivas vs Queretaro
1:1
Jul 17, 2024 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Guadalajara Chivas
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadalajara Chivas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Queretaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Avila A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coronel M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalajara Chivas 59 / 100
Queretaro 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalajara Chivas Queretaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guadalajara Chivas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 9:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadalajara Chivas found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Queretaro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Guadalajara Chivas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guadalajara Chivas VS Queretaro
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalajara Chivas

(Home)
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
0 : 2
Queretaro
20 Sept
Club America
2 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas
14 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
3 : 0
UNAM Pumas
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis
0 : 3
Guadalajara Chivas
29 Aug
Pachuca
1 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas
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Queretaro

(Away)
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
0 : 2
Queretaro
21 Sept
Queretaro
1 : 1
Club Leon
12 Sept
Club Tijuana
0 : 1
Queretaro
29 Aug
Atlas
1 : 3
Queretaro
22 Aug
Queretaro
1 : 2
Toluca
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 10 6 2 2 23:12 20
2 Club America 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
3 Guadalajara Chivas 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
4 Queretaro 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
5 Club Leon 10 5 2 3 14:11 17
6 Atlas 10 5 2 3 16:17 17
7 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Club Tijuana 9 4 2 3 14:13 14
9 Puebla 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
10 Monterrey 9 4 1 4 16:14 13
11 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
12 UNAM Pumas 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
13 Atletico San Luis 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
14 Atlante 10 2 5 3 12:15 11
15 Tigres UANL 10 2 4 4 10:13 10
16 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10:15 10
17 Necaxa 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
18 Juarez 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)