Sport Picks
Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
Guadalajara Chivas host Tigres UANL in the Liga MX. Little to choose between these two on current form. Guadalajara Chivas have averaged 1.72 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against Tigres UANL's 1.38 scored and 1.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Guadalajara Chivas have won 1 to Tigres UANL's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 0.94) point toward Guadalajara Chivas. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Tigres UANL haven't matched Guadalajara Chivas's recent run of results.
- Model gives Guadalajara Chivas a 41% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guadalajara Chivas | Tigres UANL |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 14 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guadalajara Chivas's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Tigres UANL has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Solid form: Guadalajara Chivas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Guadalajara Chivas
(Home)Tigres UANL
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25:15 | 20 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 18 |
| 4 | Club Leon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 | Queretaro | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 17 |
| 6 | Atlas | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:17 | 17 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 16 |
| 8 | Puebla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | 15 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Tigres UANL | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | 13 |
| 12 | Pachuca | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:11 | 12 |
| 13 | UNAM Pumas | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Atlante | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | 8 |
| 18 | Juarez | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7:25 | 3 |