Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guadalajara Chivas vs UNAM Pumas

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Akron, Zapopan
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Sandoval S.
Assist: Gonzalez F.
35'
Solari E.
37'
Vite P.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX game between Guadalajara Chivas and UNAM Pumas finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guadalajara Chivas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Guadalajara Chivas
30%
Draws
23%
UNAM Pumas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Guadalajara Chivas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Guadalajara Chivas a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Guadalajara Chivas Clean Sheet 20%
UNAM Pumas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalajara Chivas UNAM Pumas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.66 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Liga MX
Guadalajara Chivas vs UNAM Pumas
3:0
Apr 6, 2026 Liga MX
Guadalajara Chivas vs UNAM Pumas
2:2
Oct 6, 2025 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Guadalajara Chivas
1:2
Mar 2, 2025 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Guadalajara Chivas
0:1
Nov 3, 2024 Liga MX
Guadalajara Chivas vs UNAM Pumas
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadalajara Chivas Compare

Top Goalscorer Sandoval S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

UNAM Pumas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalajara Chivas 85 / 100
UNAM Pumas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalajara Chivas UNAM Pumas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guadalajara Chivas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadalajara Chivas found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: UNAM Pumas conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Guadalajara Chivas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guadalajara Chivas VS UNAM Pumas
2 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalajara Chivas

(Home)
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
0 : 2
Queretaro
20 Sept
Club America
2 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas
14 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
3 : 0
UNAM Pumas
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis
0 : 3
Guadalajara Chivas
29 Aug
Pachuca
1 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas
Page 1 of 6

UNAM Pumas

(Away)
27 Sept
UNAM Pumas
2 : 3
Atletico San Luis
19 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
UNAM Pumas
14 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
3 : 0
UNAM Pumas
11 Sept
UNAM Pumas
3 : 1
Club Leon
29 Aug
Club Tijuana
2 : 0
UNAM Pumas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 10 6 2 2 23:12 20
2 Club America 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
3 Guadalajara Chivas 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
4 Queretaro 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
5 Club Leon 10 5 2 3 14:11 17
6 Atlas 10 5 2 3 16:17 17
7 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Club Tijuana 9 4 2 3 14:13 14
9 Puebla 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
10 Monterrey 9 4 1 4 16:14 13
11 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
12 UNAM Pumas 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
13 Atletico San Luis 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
14 Atlante 10 2 5 3 12:15 11
15 Tigres UANL 10 2 4 4 10:13 10
16 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10:15 10
17 Necaxa 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
18 Juarez 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)