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Guadalajara Chivas W vs Club America W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women 2025/2026 Estadio Akron, Zapopan
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Okeke C.
46'
Sub
Okeke C. In: Isa Haas
Out: Okeke C.
48'
Lopez S.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women 2025/2026 game between Guadalajara Chivas W and Club America W finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guadalajara Chivas W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Guadalajara Chivas W
11%
Draws
80%
Club America W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Club America W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Guadalajara Chivas W haven't matched Club America W's recent run of results.
  • Club America W are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Guadalajara Chivas W Clean Sheet 10%
Club America W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalajara Chivas W Club America W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 15 22
Draws 9 5
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 1 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.17 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Club America W
3:2
Nov 17, 2025 Liga MX Women
Club America W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
2:0
Nov 14, 2025 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Club America W
0:2
Sep 14, 2025 Liga MX Women
Club America W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
0:2
May 18, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Club America W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadalajara Chivas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Valenzuela G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iturbide A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Club America W Compare

Top Goalscorer Geyse
1 Goals
Assists Leader Antonio N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalajara Chivas W 10 / 100
Club America W 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalajara Chivas W Club America W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CLU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Guadalajara Chivas W scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Club America W has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Guadalajara Chivas W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guadalajara Chivas W VS Club America W
1 Goals Scored 2.75
1.17 Goals Conceded 2.38
83% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 75%
17% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalajara Chivas W

(Home)
04 May
Pachuca W
2 : 0
Guadalajara Chivas W
01 May
Guadalajara Chivas W
2 : 1
Pachuca W
25 Apr
Guadalajara Chivas W
1 : 1
Toluca W
21 Apr
Juarez W
1 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas W
06 Apr
Tigres UANL W
2 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas W
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Club America W

(Away)
26 Jul
Club America W
2 : 1
Tigres UANL W
24 May
Club America W
5 : 3
Washington Spirit W
20 May
Club America W
4 : 1
Gotham FC W
17 May
Club America W
3 : 0
Monterrey W
15 May
Monterrey W
1 : 0
Club America W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club America W17133144:1342
2Monterrey W17124139:840
3Tigres UANL W17114241:1337
4Pachuca W17113346:1536
5Guadalajara Chivas W1797127:1334
6Toluca W17103438:2633
7Cruz Azul W1794438:1931
8Juarez W1785427:1829
9Club Tijuana W1784531:2328
10UNAM Pumas W1764723:2922
11Atletico San Luis W1763820:3221
12Mazatlan FC W1753919:2718
13Club Leon W1744932:3516
14Atlas W17331122:4012
15Puebla W17321211:4611
16Santos Laguna W17231214:299
17Queretaro W17121411:465
18Necaxa W17111511:624
Promotion - Liga MX Women 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)