Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guadalajara Chivas W vs Club Leon W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Akron
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Ferral C.
23'
Sub
Carter T. In: Soto K.
Out: Carter T.
24' Event
Jaramillo C.

AI Match Summary

Guadalajara Chivas W host Club Leon W in the Liga MX Women. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Guadalajara Chivas W at 1.63 goals for, 1.13 against; Club Leon W at 2.75 for, 2.38 against. Past meetings favor Guadalajara Chivas W slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 1, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 1.94, favoring Guadalajara Chivas W. Guadalajara Chivas W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Guadalajara Chivas W
39%
Draws
31%
Club Leon W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Guadalajara Chivas W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Club Leon W.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga MX Women provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Guadalajara Chivas W Clean Sheet 10%
Club Leon W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalajara Chivas W Club Leon W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 11
Draws 9 5
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.63 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Club Leon W
3:1
Sep 6, 2025 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
1:2
Mar 18, 2025 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
1:3
Aug 23, 2024 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Club Leon W
2:1
Feb 18, 2024 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadalajara Chivas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferral C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jaramillo C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Club Leon W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalajara Chivas W 29 / 100
Club Leon W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalajara Chivas W Club Leon W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadalajara Chivas W scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Club Leon W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Guadalajara Chivas W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Club Leon W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guadalajara Chivas W VS Club Leon W
1.63 Goals Scored 2.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club America W17133144:1342
2Monterrey W17124139:840
3Tigres UANL W17114241:1337
4Pachuca W17113346:1536
5Guadalajara Chivas W1797127:1334
6Toluca W17103438:2633
7Cruz Azul W1794438:1931
8Juarez W1785427:1829
9Club Tijuana W1784531:2328
10UNAM Pumas W1764723:2922
11Atletico San Luis W1763820:3221
12Mazatlan FC W1753919:2718
13Club Leon W1744932:3516
14Atlas W17331122:4012
15Puebla W17321211:4611
16Santos Laguna W17231214:299
17Queretaro W17121411:465
18Necaxa W17111511:624