Sport Picks
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Monterrey W
Mexico
Liga MX Women Estadio Akron, Zapopan 
Match Events
5'
5'
Chavarin A.
6'
6'
Cervantes A.
32'
32'
Felix Castro B. M.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
The Liga MX Women game between Guadalajara Chivas W and Monterrey W finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monterrey W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monterrey W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Monterrey W carry the better recent record into this one.
- 49% — that's where the model lands on Monterrey W taking it.
- Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Guadalajara Chivas W Clean Sheet 10%
Monterrey W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guadalajara Chivas W | Monterrey W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 17 | 22 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.74 | 2.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Monterrey W
2:3
Mar 21, 2026 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
0:0
Aug 27, 2025 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Monterrey W
1:1
Jan 26, 2025 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Monterrey W
0:1
Oct 21, 2024 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guadalajara Chivas W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Monterrey W Compare
Top Goalscorer Chavarin A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Seoposenwe J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guadalajara Chivas W 10 / 100
Monterrey W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guadalajara Chivas W Monterrey W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Monterrey W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guadalajara Chivas W scored in 81% of their last 31 games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Guadalajara Chivas W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Monterrey W has conceded goals in 56% of their last 32 outings.
Scoring Trends
Guadalajara Chivas W VS Monterrey W
2.38 Goals Scored 2.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Guadalajara Chivas W
(Home) 26 Sept
Cruz Azul W
0 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas W
19 Sept
Club Tijuana W
0 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas W
12 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas W
2 : 3 Monterrey W
05 Sept
Atlas W
0 : 4 Guadalajara Chivas W
30 Aug
Guadalajara Chivas W
0 : 2 UNAM Pumas W
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas W
2 : 3 Monterrey W
30 Aug
Guadalajara Chivas W
0 : 2 UNAM Pumas W
16 Aug
Guadalajara Chivas W
3 : 1 Atletico San Luis W
02 Aug
Guadalajara Chivas W
3 : 1 Queretaro W
01 May
Guadalajara Chivas W
2 : 1 Pachuca W
Page 1 of 4
Monterrey W
(Away) 19 Sept
Monterrey W
10 : 0 Necaxa W
12 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas W
2 : 3 Monterrey W
06 Sept
Monterrey W
5 : 1 Toluca W
29 Aug
Queretaro W
0 : 4 Monterrey W
22 Aug
Monterrey W
2 : 3 Club Leon W
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas W
2 : 3 Monterrey W
29 Aug
Queretaro W
0 : 4 Monterrey W
18 Aug
Santos Laguna W
1 : 4 Monterrey W
02 Aug
Club Tijuana W
1 : 2 Monterrey W
17 May
Club America W
3 : 0 Monterrey W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monterrey W | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 33:9 | 21 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL W | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 28:8 | 21 |
| 3 | Juarez W | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 14:6 | 21 |
| 4 | Toluca W | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 | Club Leon W | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 6 | Santos Laguna W | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:20 | 12 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul W | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11:21 | 12 |
| 8 | Atlante W | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 9 | Queretaro W | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10:21 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America W | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 37:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 20:11 | 18 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis W | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21:15 | 15 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas W | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 17:14 | 12 |
| 5 | Atlas W | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 6 | Pachuca W | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:13 | 10 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana W | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 12:24 | 6 |
| 8 | Puebla W | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12:36 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa W | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3:32 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)
