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Guadalajara Chivas W vs Necaxa W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Akron, Zapopan
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
03:07 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guadalajara Chivas W host Necaxa W in the Liga MX Women. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Necaxa W have shipped 3.6 goals a game lately, while Guadalajara Chivas W have conceded 0.9 and scored 1.8. Past meetings favor Guadalajara Chivas W slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 6, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (3.06 - 0.81) back Guadalajara Chivas W to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Guadalajara Chivas W
15%
Draws
0%
Necaxa W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Guadalajara Chivas W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Guadalajara Chivas W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Guadalajara Chivas W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Guadalajara Chivas W Clean Sheet 20%
Necaxa W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalajara Chivas W Necaxa W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 1
Draws 7 1
Losses 5 28
Goals Scored 1.8 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.9 3.6
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Liga MX Women
Necaxa W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
0:2
Oct 31, 2025 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Necaxa W
4:0
Jan 6, 2025 Liga MX Women
Necaxa W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
0:3
Sep 8, 2024 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Necaxa W
3:1
Mar 5, 2024 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Necaxa W
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalajara Chivas W 85 / 100
Necaxa W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalajara Chivas W Necaxa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guadalajara Chivas W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadalajara Chivas W's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Necaxa W let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Necaxa W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guadalajara Chivas W VS Necaxa W
2.13 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalajara Chivas W

(Home)
04 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas W
1 : 0
Juarez W
26 Sept
Cruz Azul W
0 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas W
19 Sept
Club Tijuana W
0 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas W
12 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas W
2 : 3
Monterrey W
05 Sept
Atlas W
0 : 4
Guadalajara Chivas W
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Necaxa W

(Away)
04 Oct
Necaxa W
0 : 2
Cruz Azul W
29 Sept
Necaxa W
0 : 4
Toluca W
19 Sept
Monterrey W
10 : 0
Necaxa W
13 Sept
Juarez W
1 : 0
Necaxa W
05 Sept
Necaxa W
0 : 2
Atletico San Luis W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 10 9 0 1 39:13 27
2 Tigres UANL W 10 8 1 1 32:10 25
3 Toluca W 10 7 1 2 25:16 22
4 Juarez W 10 7 0 3 14:7 21
5 Santos Laguna W 10 5 0 5 13:20 15
6 Cruz Azul W 10 5 0 5 13:21 15
7 Club Leon W 9 4 0 5 15:17 12
8 Atlante W 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
9 Queretaro W 10 2 0 8 10:22 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 10 8 1 1 45:11 25
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 10 7 0 3 21:11 21
3 Atletico San Luis W 10 6 1 3 23:16 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 10 3 1 6 14:15 10
7 Club Tijuana W 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
8 Puebla W 10 1 0 9 13:39 3
9 Necaxa W 10 0 0 10 3:38 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)