Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guadalajara Chivas W vs Puebla W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Akron
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Martinez L.
40'
Rodriguez C.
44' Event
Fernandez L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women game between Guadalajara Chivas W and Puebla W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Guadalajara Chivas W
6%
Draws
4%
Puebla W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Guadalajara Chivas W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Guadalajara Chivas W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Guadalajara Chivas W Clean Sheet 68%
Puebla W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalajara Chivas W Puebla W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 4
Draws 9 5
Losses 5 21
Goals Scored 1.63 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
1:3
Oct 12, 2025 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Puebla W
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Puebla W
3:0
Aug 6, 2024 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
0:1
Jan 25, 2024 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadalajara Chivas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaramillo C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Puebla W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalajara Chivas W 95 / 100
Puebla W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalajara Chivas W Puebla W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Guadalajara Chivas W scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Puebla W has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Guadalajara Chivas W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guadalajara Chivas W VS Puebla W
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tigres UANL W17133160:1142
2Pachuca W17133160:2042
3Club America W17122356:2238
4Toluca W17105235:1735
5Guadalajara Chivas W17103429:1733
6Monterrey W17102538:2432
7Cruz Azul W1784542:2728
8Juarez W1776424:1727
9Club Leon W1783632:3327
10Atletico San Luis W1774624:2725
11UNAM Pumas W1772835:3223
12Atlas W1764728:3322
13Club Tijuana W17431019:3315
14Queretaro W17341017:5013
15Santos Laguna W17331119:4012
16Necaxa W1722139:408
17Puebla W1713138:436
18Mazatlan FC W1702159:582