Sport Picks
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Toluca W
Mexico
Liga MX Women Estadio Akron 
AI Match Summary
Guadalajara Chivas W play Toluca W in the Liga MX Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Guadalajara Chivas W averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.91 conceded. Toluca W averaged 2.15 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. In past meetings, Guadalajara Chivas W won 2, Toluca W won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Guadalajara Chivas W and 1.63 for Toluca W. This points to a Guadalajara Chivas W double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Guadalajara Chivas W picked up more points recently compared to Toluca W.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.63 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guadalajara Chivas W | Toluca W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 33 |
| Wins | 18 | 18 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 5 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 2.15 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.91 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guadalajara Chivas W Compare
Toluca W Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guadalajara Chivas W scored in 81% of their last 32 games.
Toluca W let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Guadalajara Chivas W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Toluca W lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America W | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 44:13 | 42 |
| 2 | Monterrey W | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 39:8 | 40 |
| 3 | Tigres UANL W | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 41:13 | 37 |
| 4 | Pachuca W | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 46:15 | 36 |
| 5 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 17 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 27:13 | 34 |
| 6 | Toluca W | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 38:26 | 33 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul W | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38:19 | 31 |
| 8 | Juarez W | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 27:18 | 29 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana W | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 31:23 | 28 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas W | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23:29 | 22 |
| 11 | Atletico San Luis W | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:32 | 21 |
| 12 | Mazatlan FC W | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:27 | 18 |
| 13 | Club Leon W | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 32:35 | 16 |
| 14 | Atlas W | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 22:40 | 12 |
| 15 | Puebla W | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11:46 | 11 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna W | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14:29 | 9 |
| 17 | Queretaro W | 17 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11:46 | 5 |
| 18 | Necaxa W | 17 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11:62 | 4 |