Sport Picks
Guadalajara Chivas W vs UNAM Pumas W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga MX Women Estadio Akron, Zapopan 
Match Events
5'
5'
Ribeiro S.
Assist: Montero C.
27'
27'
Torres C.
Assist: Ribeiro S.
27'
27'
Ribeiro S.
AI Match Summary
The Liga MX Women game between Guadalajara Chivas W and UNAM Pumas W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UNAM Pumas W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Guadalajara Chivas W come out ahead of UNAM Pumas W on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Guadalajara Chivas W's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Guadalajara Chivas W Clean Sheet 14%
UNAM Pumas W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guadalajara Chivas W | UNAM Pumas W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs UNAM Pumas W
0:2
Feb 10, 2026 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs UNAM Pumas W
4:3
Apr 27, 2025 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
0:1
Apr 25, 2025 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs UNAM Pumas W
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guadalajara Chivas W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
UNAM Pumas W Compare
Top Goalscorer Ribeiro S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Torres C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guadalajara Chivas W 84 / 100
UNAM Pumas W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guadalajara Chivas W UNAM Pumas W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guadalajara Chivas W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guadalajara Chivas W scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
UNAM Pumas W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Guadalajara Chivas W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Guadalajara Chivas W VS UNAM Pumas W
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Guadalajara Chivas W
(Home) 04 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas W
1 : 0 Juarez W
26 Sept
Cruz Azul W
0 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas W
19 Sept
Club Tijuana W
0 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas W
12 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas W
2 : 3 Monterrey W
05 Sept
Atlas W
0 : 4 Guadalajara Chivas W
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas W
1 : 0 Juarez W
12 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas W
2 : 3 Monterrey W
30 Aug
Guadalajara Chivas W
0 : 2 UNAM Pumas W
16 Aug
Guadalajara Chivas W
3 : 1 Atletico San Luis W
02 Aug
Guadalajara Chivas W
3 : 1 Queretaro W
Page 1 of 3
UNAM Pumas W
(Away) 03 Oct
UNAM Pumas W
1 : 3 Tigres UANL W
28 Sept
Atlante W
0 : 0 UNAM Pumas W
20 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 0 Puebla W
12 Sept
Cruz Azul W
3 : 2 UNAM Pumas W
05 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
1 : 2 Club America W
Page 1 of 6
28 Sept
Atlante W
0 : 0 UNAM Pumas W
12 Sept
Cruz Azul W
3 : 2 UNAM Pumas W
30 Aug
Guadalajara Chivas W
0 : 2 UNAM Pumas W
15 Aug
Pachuca W
3 : 1 UNAM Pumas W
09 Aug
Necaxa W
1 : 2 UNAM Pumas W
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monterrey W | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 39:13 | 27 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL W | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 32:10 | 25 |
| 3 | Toluca W | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25:16 | 22 |
| 4 | Juarez W | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 5 | Santos Laguna W | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 6 | Cruz Azul W | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13:21 | 15 |
| 7 | Club Leon W | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 8 | Atlante W | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6:13 | 7 |
| 9 | Queretaro W | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:22 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America W | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 45:11 | 25 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:11 | 21 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis W | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 23:16 | 19 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 13 |
| 5 | Atlas W | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 6 | Pachuca W | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | 10 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana W | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13:24 | 9 |
| 8 | Puebla W | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13:39 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa W | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3:38 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)
