Sport Picks

Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio Pedro Escartín

Match Events

11'

Alvarez U.

28'

Alvarez U.

43'

Fortuny P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guadalajara host Real Madrid B in the Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Guadalajara at 1.38 goals for, 1.63 against; Real Madrid B at 2.38 for, 1.5 against. Head-to-head, Guadalajara have won 0 to Real Madrid B's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 2.00) point toward Real Madrid B. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Guadalajara

39%

Draws

31%

Real Madrid B

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Real Madrid B has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Guadalajara.
Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Guadalajara Clean Sheet 10%

Real Madrid B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Guadalajara	Real Madrid B
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	9	11
Draws	8	10
Losses	14	9
Goals Scored	1.38	2.38
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1

Guadalajara vs Real Madrid B

Possession: 42% - 41% Cards: 1 - 3

2:2

Dec 13, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1

Real Madrid B vs Guadalajara

Possession: 51% - 41% Cards: 4 - 2

3:1

Apr 3, 2016 Segunda RFEF - Group 2

Real Madrid B vs Guadalajara

Possession: 60% - 55% Cards: 2 - 3

6:3

Nov 15, 2015 Segunda RFEF - Group 2

Guadalajara vs Real Madrid B

Possession: 50% - 44% Cards: 1 - 4

1:2

May 10, 2015 Segunda RFEF - Group 2

Real Madrid B vs Guadalajara

Possession: 47% - 42% Cards: 1 - 4

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadalajara Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez U.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Real Madrid B Compare

Top Goalscorer Fortuny P.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Martinez J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.16

Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalajara 29 / 100

Real Madrid B 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Guadalajara Real Madrid B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadalajara scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Real Madrid B let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Guadalajara went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Real Madrid B lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guadalajara VS Real Madrid B

1.38 Goals Scored 2.38

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tenerife	38	22	10	6	62:24	76
2	Celta Vigo B	38	18	11	9	61:48	65
3	Zamora	38	17	10	11	53:42	61
4	Ponferradina	38	17	9	12	43:33	60
5	Real Madrid B	38	16	10	12	61:52	58
6	Pontevedra	38	14	16	8	49:31	58
7	Barakaldo	38	15	13	10	51:38	58
8	Unionistas de Salamanca	38	15	11	12	53:49	56
9	Lugo	38	13	14	11	36:40	53
10	AD Merida	38	14	10	14	47:53	52
11	Arenas Getxo	38	15	7	16	46:55	52
12	Racing Club Ferrol	38	13	10	15	41:47	49
13	Ath Bilbao B	38	13	10	15	38:46	49
14	Real Aviles	38	11	11	16	55:67	44
15	Cacereno	38	10	14	14	42:49	44
16	CF Talavera	38	11	10	17	38:47	43
17	Ourense CF	38	10	13	15	44:47	43
18	Guadalajara	38	10	11	17	44:58	41
19	Osasuna B	38	10	10	18	28:42	40
20	Arenteiro	38	6	10	22	29:53	28