Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guadalajara vs RSD Alcala

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Ablanque J.
Own Goal
63' Event
Gomez D.
72' Event
Miguelez S.

AI Match Summary

Guadalajara in this Segunda RFEF - Group 5 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guadalajara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Guadalajara
15%
Draws
65%
RSD Alcala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RSD Alcala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to RSD Alcala lately — more wins on the board than Guadalajara.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on RSD Alcala taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Guadalajara Clean Sheet 14%
RSD Alcala Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalajara RSD Alcala
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.69 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Guadalajara vs RSD Alcala
2:1
Aug 13, 2025 Club Friendly
RSD Alcala vs Guadalajara
2:2
Feb 6, 2011 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
RSD Alcala vs Guadalajara
0:0
Sep 22, 2010 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Guadalajara vs RSD Alcala
1:3
Apr 18, 2010 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Guadalajara vs RSD Alcala
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadalajara Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Miguelez S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

RSD Alcala Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalajara 10 / 100
RSD Alcala 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalajara RSD Alcala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RSD Alcala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Guadalajara found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

RSD Alcala has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Guadalajara remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guadalajara VS RSD Alcala
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalajara

(Home)
13 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 1
RSD Alcala
06 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 3
Salamanca CF UDS
29 Aug
Conquense
4 : 1
Guadalajara
18 Aug
Marchamalo
1 : 0
Guadalajara
05 Aug
Cacereno
1 : 0
Guadalajara
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RSD Alcala

(Away)
13 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 1
RSD Alcala
06 Sept
RSD Alcala
3 : 0
CF Talavera
29 Aug
RSD Alcala
2 : 1
Real Avila
19 Aug
RSD Alcala
1 : 1
Gimnastica Segoviana
14 Aug
RSD Alcala
2 : 0
Rayo Majadahonda
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Numancia 3 2 1 0 4:0 7
2 San Sebastian Reyes 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
3 Salamanca CF UDS 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
4 Atl. Madrid C 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
5 Conquense 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
6 Albacete B 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
7 RSD Alcala 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
8 Gimnastica Segoviana 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
9 Guadalajara 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
10 Navalcarnero 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
11 Valladolid Promesas 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
12 Real Madrid C 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
13 Getafe B 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
14 CF Talavera 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
15 Puertollano C.F. 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
16 Atletico Paso 3 0 1 2 0:3 1
17 Real Avila 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
18 Atletico Tordesillas 2 0 0 2 4:7 0
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)