Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guadalupe vs Aserri

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
0 - 2
08:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
75' Event

AI Match Summary

Guadalupe host Aserri in the Liga de Ascenso. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Guadalupe at 0.93 goals for, 2 against; Aserri at 0.96 for, 1.85 against. Past meetings favor Guadalupe slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 27, 2025, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.69 - 1.63) back Aserri to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Guadalupe
30%
Draws
16%
Aserri
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guadalupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Aserri's 0.96 goals per match outpaces what Guadalupe have produced (0.93).
  • 54% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Guadalupe Clean Sheet 14%
Aserri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalupe Aserri
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 5 5
Draws 9 10
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.93 0.96
Goals Conceded 2 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2025 Copa Costa Rica
Guadalupe vs Aserri
4:1
Aug 15, 2025 Copa Costa Rica
Aserri vs Guadalupe
4:2
Apr 13, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Guadalupe vs Aserri
1:2
Mar 1, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs Guadalupe
0:2
Nov 3, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs Guadalupe
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalupe 30 / 100
Aserri 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalupe Aserri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guadalupe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Guadalupe found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Aserri let in goals in 73% of their last 26 matches.

Guadalupe went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guadalupe VS Aserri
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalupe

(Home)
11 Aug
Pitbulls
2 : 2
Guadalupe
01 Aug
FC Moravia
1 : 2
Guadalupe
26 Apr
Guadalupe
0 : 5
Cartagines
23 Apr
Saprissa
5 : 0
Guadalupe
18 Apr
Guadalupe
1 : 0
Zeledon
Page 1 of 6

Aserri

(Away)
01 Aug
Santa Ana
1 : 0
Aserri
12 Apr
Aserri
2 : 2
Cariari Pococi
04 Apr
Escorpiones
8 : 0
Aserri
31 Mar
Aserri
0 : 0
Carmelita
27 Mar
Santa Ana
3 : 2
Aserri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Sarchi 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 ADR Jicaral 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Quepos FC 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
4 Grecia 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
5 Santa Cruz 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
6 Team will be confirmed 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 AD Rosario 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
8 Cofutpa 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Ana 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
2 Guadalupe 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
3 Cariari Pococi 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Carmelita 3 0 2 1 5:6 2
5 Pitbulls 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
6 CS Uruguay 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
7 FC Moravia 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
8 Aserri 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)