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Guadalupe vs Aserri Prediction & H2H Stats

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Posada M.
75' Event
Hernandez D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between Guadalupe and Aserri finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aserri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Guadalupe
30%
Draws
58%
Aserri
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aserri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aserri come out ahead of Guadalupe on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Aserri taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Guadalupe Clean Sheet 12%
Aserri Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalupe Aserri
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 4 6
Draws 8 11
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.86 0.96
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Guadalupe vs Aserri
0:2
Aug 27, 2025 Copa Costa Rica
Guadalupe vs Aserri
4:1
Aug 15, 2025 Copa Costa Rica
Aserri vs Guadalupe
4:2
Apr 13, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Guadalupe vs Aserri
1:2
Mar 1, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs Guadalupe
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadalupe Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Aserri Compare

Top Goalscorer Posada M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hernandez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalupe 19 / 100
Aserri 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalupe Aserri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aserri Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Aserri conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

Guadalupe scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Guadalupe went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guadalupe VS Aserri
0.88 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalupe

(Home)
27 Sept
Guadalupe
2 : 2
Pitbulls
19 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 3
FC Moravia
13 Sept
Santa Ana
2 : 1
Guadalupe
06 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 1
CS Uruguay
29 Aug
Cariari Pococi
3 : 3
Guadalupe
Page 1 of 6

Aserri

(Away)
26 Sept
FC Moravia
1 : 0
Aserri
20 Sept
Aserri
1 : 0
Santa Ana
12 Sept
CS Uruguay
0 : 1
Aserri
06 Sept
Aserri
1 : 1
Cariari Pococi
28 Aug
Carmelita
1 : 2
Aserri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 8 5 3 0 12:4 18
2 Quepos FC 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
3 Grecia 7 3 2 2 8:6 11
4 AD Sarchi 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
5 AD Rosario 7 3 1 3 10:10 10
6 Santa Cruz 8 2 0 6 11:18 6
7 Cofutpa 8 1 1 6 7:14 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pitbulls 9 5 3 1 16:11 18
2 Santa Ana 8 5 0 3 11:9 15
3 Aserri 9 4 2 3 8:8 14
4 Cariari Pococi 8 3 4 1 10:8 13
5 Carmelita 9 3 3 3 16:11 12
6 FC Moravia 9 3 1 5 12:10 10
7 CS Uruguay 9 2 2 5 7:16 8
8 Guadalupe 9 1 3 5 10:17 6
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)