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Guadalupe vs Cartagines

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Coyella Fonseca, San José
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Faerron F.
16' Event
Pereira M.
46'
Sub
Amador A. In: Salas I.
Out: Amador A.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between Guadalupe and Cartagines finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cartagines.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Guadalupe
6%
Draws
90%
Cartagines
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cartagines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cartagines carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Cartagines taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Guadalupe Clean Sheet 10%
Cartagines Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalupe Cartagines
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 11
Draws 9 6
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Primera Division
Guadalupe vs Cartagines
0:5
Jan 15, 2026 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Guadalupe
2:1
Oct 16, 2025 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Guadalupe
1:1
Aug 18, 2025 Primera Division
Guadalupe vs Cartagines
0:0
Mar 31, 2023 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Guadalupe
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadalupe Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Cartagines Compare

Top Goalscorer Faerron F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pereira M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalupe 10 / 100
Cartagines 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalupe Cartagines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cartagines's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Guadalupe scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Guadalupe stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guadalupe VS Cartagines
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalupe

(Home)
26 Apr
Guadalupe
0 : 5
Cartagines
23 Apr
Saprissa
5 : 0
Guadalupe
18 Apr
Guadalupe
1 : 0
Zeledon
13 Apr
San Carlos
4 : 0
Guadalupe
06 Apr
Alajuelense
1 : 1
Guadalupe
Page 1 of 6

Cartagines

(Away)
25 Jul
Cartagines
3 : 1
Inter San Carlos
10 May
Herediano
0 : 0
Cartagines
03 May
Cartagines
0 : 1
Herediano
26 Apr
Guadalupe
0 : 5
Cartagines
22 Apr
Cartagines
2 : 1
San Carlos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Herediano18122426:1038
2Saprissa18104434:1934
3Liberia18103524:1833
4Cartagines18102626:2032
5Alajuelense1875628:2026
6Sporting FC1864816:2122
7San Carlos1863921:2521
8Puntarenas FC18441022:2916
9Zeledon1828819:3014
10Guadalupe18351013:3714
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)