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Guadalupe vs FC Moravia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
31' Event
45' Event

AI Match Summary

FC Moravia in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Moravia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Guadalupe
15%
Draws
39%
FC Moravia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadalupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • FC Moravia have won more games recently than Guadalupe.
  • Win probability leans Guadalupe's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Guadalupe Clean Sheet 16%
FC Moravia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalupe FC Moravia
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 6 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Guadalupe vs FC Moravia
0:3
Aug 1, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
FC Moravia vs Guadalupe
1:2
Jun 1, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
FC Moravia vs Guadalupe
1:2
May 24, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Guadalupe vs FC Moravia
1:1
Mar 5, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
FC Moravia vs Guadalupe
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalupe 41 / 100
FC Moravia 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalupe FC Moravia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Moravia conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Guadalupe remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: FC Moravia registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guadalupe VS FC Moravia
1 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalupe

(Home)
10 Oct
Carmelita
0 : 2
Guadalupe
04 Oct
Aserri
2 : 3
Guadalupe
27 Sept
Guadalupe
2 : 2
Pitbulls
19 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 3
FC Moravia
13 Sept
Santa Ana
2 : 1
Guadalupe
Page 1 of 6

FC Moravia

(Away)
11 Oct
Cariari Pococi
1 : 0
FC Moravia
02 Oct
FC Moravia
0 : 3
Carmelita
26 Sept
FC Moravia
1 : 0
Aserri
19 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 3
FC Moravia
15 Sept
Pitbulls
3 : 2
FC Moravia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 9 6 3 0 15:5 21
2 Quepos FC 9 5 1 3 13:7 16
3 Grecia 8 4 2 2 9:6 14
4 AD Rosario 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
5 AD Sarchi 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
6 Santa Cruz 9 2 0 7 11:19 6
7 Cofutpa 9 1 1 7 8:17 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Ana 11 8 0 3 19:10 24
2 Pitbulls 10 5 4 1 18:13 19
3 Cariari Pococi 11 4 4 3 12:11 16
4 Carmelita 11 4 3 4 19:13 15
5 Aserri 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
6 Guadalupe 11 3 3 5 15:19 12
7 FC Moravia 11 3 1 7 12:14 10
8 CS Uruguay 11 2 3 6 9:23 9
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)