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Guadalupe vs Herediano Prediction & H2H Stats

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Coyella Fonseca, San José
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Hernandez M.
18'
Mendez G.
18'
Brown K.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between Guadalupe and Herediano finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Herediano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Guadalupe
20%
Draws
60%
Herediano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Herediano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Herediano come out ahead of Guadalupe on wins alone.
  • Model gives Guadalupe a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Guadalupe Clean Sheet 18%
Herediano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalupe Herediano
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 4 18
Draws 8 4
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0.83 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.07 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2026 Primera Division
Guadalupe vs Herediano
0:2
Jan 21, 2026 Primera Division
Herediano vs Guadalupe
4:0
Sep 28, 2025 Primera Division
Herediano vs Guadalupe
0:2
Jul 25, 2025 Primera Division
Guadalupe vs Herediano
0:0
Sep 4, 2024 Copa Costa Rica
Guadalupe vs Herediano
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadalupe Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Herediano Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leal R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalupe 36 / 100
Herediano 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalupe Herediano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Herediano has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Guadalupe scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Herediano has conceded goals in 53% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guadalupe VS Herediano
1 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalupe

(Home)
27 Sept
Guadalupe
2 : 2
Pitbulls
19 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 3
FC Moravia
13 Sept
Santa Ana
2 : 1
Guadalupe
06 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 1
CS Uruguay
29 Aug
Cariari Pococi
3 : 3
Guadalupe
Page 1 of 6

Herediano

(Away)
20 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 0
Herediano
13 Sept
Escorpiones
0 : 2
Herediano
05 Sept
Herediano
2 : 3
Zeledon
30 Aug
Cartagines
1 : 0
Herediano
27 Aug
Herediano
2 : 1
Antigua
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Herediano 18 12 2 4 26:10 38
2 Saprissa 18 10 4 4 34:19 34
3 Liberia 18 10 3 5 24:18 33
4 Cartagines 18 10 2 6 26:20 32
5 Alajuelense 18 7 5 6 28:20 26
6 Sporting FC 18 6 4 8 16:21 22
7 San Carlos 18 6 3 9 21:25 21
8 Puntarenas FC 18 4 4 10 22:29 16
9 Zeledon 18 2 8 8 19:30 14
10 Guadalupe 18 3 5 10 13:37 14
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)