Sport Picks

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Guadalupe vs Herediano

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Coyella Fonseca, San José
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Hernandez M.
18'
Mendez G.
18'
Brown K.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between Guadalupe and Herediano finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Herediano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Guadalupe
6%
Draws
90%
Herediano
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Herediano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Herediano come out ahead of Guadalupe on wins alone.
  • Model gives Herediano a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Guadalupe Clean Sheet 13%
Herediano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalupe Herediano
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 18
Draws 9 4
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 0.33 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.5 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.33 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2026 Primera Division
Guadalupe vs Herediano
0:2
Jan 21, 2026 Primera Division
Herediano vs Guadalupe
4:0
Sep 28, 2025 Primera Division
Herediano vs Guadalupe
0:2
Jul 25, 2025 Primera Division
Guadalupe vs Herediano
0:0
Sep 4, 2024 Copa Costa Rica
Guadalupe vs Herediano
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadalupe Compare

Avg xG / game 0.25
Avg xA / game 0.17

Herediano Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leal R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalupe 10 / 100
Herediano 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalupe Herediano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Guadalupe found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Herediano has conceded goals in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Guadalupe has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guadalupe VS Herediano
0.33 Goals Scored 0.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
67% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalupe

(Home)
26 Apr
Guadalupe
0 : 5
Cartagines
23 Apr
Saprissa
5 : 0
Guadalupe
18 Apr
Guadalupe
1 : 0
Zeledon
13 Apr
San Carlos
4 : 0
Guadalupe
06 Apr
Alajuelense
1 : 1
Guadalupe
Page 1 of 6

Herediano

(Away)
24 Jul
Herediano
1 : 1
Puntarenas FC
18 Jul
Herediano
1 : 0
Saprissa
12 Jul
Alajuelense
0 : 1
Herediano
17 May
Herediano
2 : 0
Saprissa
14 May
Saprissa
2 : 1
Herediano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Herediano18122426:1038
2Saprissa18104434:1934
3Liberia18103524:1833
4Cartagines18102626:2032
5Alajuelense1875628:2026
6Sporting FC1864816:2122
7San Carlos1863921:2521
8Puntarenas FC18441022:2916
9Zeledon1828819:3014
10Guadalupe18351013:3714
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)