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Guadeloupe vs Barbados

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League Daren Sammy Cricket Ground, Gros Islet
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Gilkes J.
36'
Gollop J.
46'
Sub
Oughterson J. In: Gale T.
Out: Oughterson J.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League game between Guadeloupe and Barbados finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Guadeloupe
15%
Draws
42%
Barbados
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadeloupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guadeloupe come out ahead of Barbados on wins alone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Guadeloupe taking it.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Guadeloupe Clean Sheet 68%
Barbados Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadeloupe Barbados
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 18 7
Draws 2 4
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 2.1 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.94 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Guadeloupe vs Barbados
2:2
Jun 12, 2022 CONCACAF Nations League
Guadeloupe vs Barbados
2:1
Jun 9, 2022 CONCACAF Nations League
Barbados vs Guadeloupe
0:1
Nov 13, 2002 Gold Cup
Barbados vs Guadeloupe
0:1
Apr 8, 1994 Caribbean Cup
Barbados vs Guadeloupe
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadeloupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Boisne D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Barbados Compare

Top Goalscorer Gale T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reid-Stephen N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadeloupe 59 / 100
Barbados 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadeloupe Barbados

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guadeloupe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barbados's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

Guadeloupe's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Barbados lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guadeloupe VS Barbados
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadeloupe

(Home)
25 Sept
Bermuda
1 : 2
Guadeloupe
24 Jun
Guadeloupe
2 : 3
Guatemala
20 Jun
Jamaica
2 : 1
Guadeloupe
16 Jun
Panama
5 : 2
Guadeloupe
26 Mar
Nicaragua
0 : 1
Guadeloupe
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Barbados

(Away)
26 Sept
Barbados
2 : 0
Saint Lucia
29 Mar
Barbados
2 : 3
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
26 Mar
Saint Martin
3 : 1
Barbados
15 Nov
Barbados
0 : 3
Aruba
12 Nov
Barbados
3 : 2
Bonaire
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