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Guadiana vs Cabeza del Buey - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Moreno J.
61'
Holguera L.
61'
Holguera L.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 game between Guadiana and Cabeza del Buey finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Guadiana
30%
Draws
58%
Cabeza del Buey
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cabeza del Buey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cabeza del Buey come out ahead of Guadiana on wins alone.
  • Cabeza del Buey are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Guadiana Clean Sheet 13%
Cabeza del Buey Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadiana Cabeza del Buey
Matches Played 5 28
Wins 0 12
Draws 1 8
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 0.4 1.29
Goals Conceded 2.2 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 1.66
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Guadiana vs Cabeza del Buey
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.35

Cabeza del Buey Compare

Top Goalscorer Cruz L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.51
Avg xA / game 0.92

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadiana 22 / 100
Cabeza del Buey 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadiana Cabeza del Buey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cabeza del Buey Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Guadiana found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (5 games).

Defensive concern: Cabeza del Buey conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Guadiana stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guadiana VS Cabeza del Buey
0.29 Goals Scored 1.75
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.13
57% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadiana

(Home)
04 Oct
CD Azuaga
4 : 0
Guadiana
27 Sept
Guadiana
1 : 1
Cabeza del Buey
20 Sept
Montijo
3 : 1
Guadiana
12 Sept
Guadiana
0 : 2
SP Villafranca
06 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0
Guadiana

Cabeza del Buey

(Away)
04 Oct
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 1
Villanovense
27 Sept
Guadiana
1 : 1
Cabeza del Buey
20 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 2
CD Azuaga
13 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
0 : 1
Jerez CF
06 Sept
Montijo
1 : 3
Cabeza del Buey
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Azuaga 5 5 0 0 14:2 15
2 Moralo 5 3 2 0 9:5 11
3 AD Llerenense 4 3 1 0 3:0 10
4 Castuera 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
5 Puebla de la Calzada 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
6 Gevora 5 2 2 1 8:9 8
7 CD Zafra 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
8 Villanovense 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Santa Amalia 5 1 3 1 6:5 6
10 SP Villafranca 5 2 0 3 7:8 6
11 Montijo 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
12 Cabeza del Buey 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
13 Jerez CF 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
14 Jaraiz 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
15 Quintana 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
16 Pueblonuevo 5 0 3 2 5:10 3
17 UP Plasencia 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
18 Guadiana 5 0 1 4 2:11 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)