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Guadiana vs Jerez CF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guadiana host Jerez CF in the Tercera RFEF - Group 14. This has Jerez CF written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Guadiana at 0.4 goals for, 2.2 against; Jerez CF at 1.67 for, 1.6 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.17 xG vs 1.60) point toward Jerez CF. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Guadiana
20%
Draws
70%
Jerez CF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jerez CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Guadiana haven't matched Jerez CF's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Jerez CF taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Guadiana Clean Sheet 14%
Jerez CF Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadiana Jerez CF
Matches Played 5 30
Wins 0 9
Draws 1 11
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 0.4 1.67
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadiana 19 / 100
Jerez CF 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadiana Jerez CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jerez CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jerez CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Guadiana found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (5 games).

Solid form: Guadiana remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Jerez CF has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guadiana VS Jerez CF
0.33 Goals Scored 1.38
1.83 Goals Conceded 2
67% Over 1.5 100%
33% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadiana

(Home)
04 Oct
CD Azuaga
4 : 0
Guadiana
27 Sept
Guadiana
1 : 1
Cabeza del Buey
20 Sept
Montijo
3 : 1
Guadiana
12 Sept
Guadiana
0 : 2
SP Villafranca
06 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0
Guadiana

Jerez CF

(Away)
27 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Jerez CF
20 Sept
Jerez CF
1 : 2
Castuera
13 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
0 : 1
Jerez CF
06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2
Puebla de la Calzada
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1
Montehermoso
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Azuaga 5 5 0 0 14:2 15
2 Moralo 5 3 2 0 9:5 11
3 AD Llerenense 4 3 1 0 3:0 10
4 Castuera 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
5 Puebla de la Calzada 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
6 Gevora 5 2 2 1 8:9 8
7 CD Zafra 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
8 Villanovense 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Santa Amalia 5 1 3 1 6:5 6
10 SP Villafranca 5 2 0 3 7:8 6
11 Montijo 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
12 Cabeza del Buey 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
13 Jerez CF 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
14 Jaraiz 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
15 Quintana 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
16 Pueblonuevo 5 0 3 2 5:10 3
17 UP Plasencia 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
18 Guadiana 5 0 1 4 2:11 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)