Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019 game between Guadix and Mancha finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guadix.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mancha
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Mancha carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Mancha's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Guadix Clean Sheet 20%
Mancha Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guadix | Mancha |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 20 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 0.84 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.73 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 24, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs Mancha
1:0
Nov 11, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Guadix
1:1
Jan 7, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs Mancha
1:3
Aug 20, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Guadix
1:0
Apr 24, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Guadix
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guadix 10 / 100
Mancha 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guadix Mancha
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mancha Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guadix found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
Mancha let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Mancha lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Mancha
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Guadix
(Home) 19 May
Antequera
6 : 1 Guadix
12 May
Guadix
0 : 3 Torremolinos
05 May
Alhaurin
5 : 1 Guadix
27 Apr
Guadix
2 : 2 El Palo
14 Apr
Motril
5 : 0 Guadix
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12 May
Guadix
0 : 3 Torremolinos
27 Apr
Guadix
2 : 2 El Palo
07 Apr
Guadix
2 : 3 CP Almeria
24 Mar
Guadix
1 : 0 Mancha
10 Mar
Guadix
1 : 1 Huetor Tajar
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Mancha
(Away) 27 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
20 Sept
Atletico de Marbella
1 : 0 Mancha
13 Sept
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0 Mancha
05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1 Marbelli
30 Aug
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0 Mancha
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20 Sept
Atletico de Marbella
1 : 0 Mancha
13 Sept
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0 Mancha
30 Aug
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0 Mancha
10 May
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1 Mancha
26 Apr
Granada CF B
2 : 2 Mancha
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaen | 42 | 32 | 5 | 5 | 99:32 | 101 |
| 2 | Linares | 42 | 27 | 6 | 9 | 79:32 | 87 |
| 3 | Antequera | 42 | 24 | 10 | 8 | 90:35 | 82 |
| 4 | El Palo | 42 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 65:34 | 81 |
| 5 | Velez | 42 | 18 | 14 | 10 | 56:40 | 68 |
| 6 | Motril | 42 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 79:59 | 68 |
| 7 | Loja | 42 | 18 | 8 | 16 | 68:64 | 62 |
| 8 | Mancha | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 59:52 | 60 |
| 9 | Alhaurin | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 73:69 | 59 |
| 10 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 74:59 | 58 |
| 11 | CD Torreperogil | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 43:52 | 58 |
| 12 | Huetor Vega | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 56:65 | 57 |
| 13 | Huetor Tajar | 42 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 65:55 | 57 |
| 14 | CP Almeria | 42 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 53:57 | 57 |
| 15 | CD Alhaurino | 42 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 72:66 | 56 |
| 16 | Torremolinos | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 57:65 | 53 |
| 17 | Rincon | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 45:63 | 52 |
| 18 | Martos | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 41:70 | 44 |
| 19 | Atarfe Industrial | 42 | 12 | 6 | 24 | 49:79 | 42 |
| 20 | UD San Pedro | 42 | 11 | 8 | 23 | 48:75 | 41 |
| 21 | Guadix | 42 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 44:95 | 35 |
| 22 | River Melilla | 42 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 28:125 | 4 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
