Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guadix vs River Melilla

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guadix in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guadix.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Guadix
15%
Draws
0%
River Melilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guadix lately — more wins on the board than River Melilla.
  • 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Guadix Clean Sheet 10%
River Melilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadix River Melilla
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 2
Draws 7 0
Losses 20 28
Goals Scored 0.9 0.67
Goals Conceded 2.73 3.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs River Melilla
1:2
Sep 22, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
River Melilla vs Guadix
0:1
Mar 4, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs River Melilla
1:0
Oct 22, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
River Melilla vs Guadix
2:0
Jan 24, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs River Melilla
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadix 29 / 100
River Melilla 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadix River Melilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guadix Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

River Melilla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Away concern: River Melilla has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Guadix scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Guadix VS River Melilla
1 Goals Scored 0.5
3.25 Goals Conceded 4.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadix

(Home)
19 May
Antequera
6 : 1
Guadix
12 May
Guadix
0 : 3
Torremolinos
05 May
Alhaurin
5 : 1
Guadix
27 Apr
Guadix
2 : 2
El Palo
14 Apr
Motril
5 : 0
Guadix
Page 1 of 6

River Melilla

(Away)
19 May
UD San Pedro
3 : 2
River Melilla
11 May
River Melilla
0 : 3
Antequera
04 May
Torremolinos
5 : 0
River Melilla
01 May
River Melilla
2 : 5
Loja
27 Apr
River Melilla
1 : 5
Alhaurin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaga B 38 28 6 4 107:34 90
2 Antequera 38 23 6 9 70:38 75
3 Almeria B 38 21 8 9 61:36 71
4 Huetor Tajar 38 21 8 9 73:48 71
5 Motril 38 21 7 10 71:43 70
6 Loja 38 20 6 12 63:41 66
7 Rincon 38 16 9 13 49:52 57
8 El Palo 38 16 8 14 64:57 56
9 Martos 38 15 8 15 57:54 53
10 Guadix 38 14 9 15 47:51 51
11 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 38 14 6 18 41:51 48
12 Maracena 38 12 10 16 50:54 46
13 UD San Pedro 37 11 12 14 42:49 45
14 Atarfe Industrial 37 11 12 14 42:59 45
15 Velez 38 12 8 18 44:64 44
16 Huetor Vega 38 10 14 14 45:55 44
17 River Melilla 38 10 10 18 47:67 40
18 CD Alhaurino 38 7 10 21 37:67 31
19 Dos Hermanas 38 7 7 24 48:88 28
20 Alhaurin 38 3 10 25 39:89 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)