Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gualaceo vs 22 de Julio

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Jorge Andrade, Azogues
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
08:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gualaceo host 22 de Julio in the Serie B. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. 22 de Julio have shipped 1.86 goals a game lately, while Gualaceo have conceded 0.6 and scored 1.03. Head-to-head, Gualaceo have won 1 to 22 de Julio's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Sep 4, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 2.44 vs 0.50, favoring Gualaceo. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Gualaceo
20%
Draws
7%
22 de Julio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gualaceo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gualaceo come out ahead of 22 de Julio on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Gualaceo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Gualaceo Clean Sheet 20%
22 de Julio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gualaceo 22 de Julio
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 4
Draws 9 4
Losses 7 21
Goals Scored 1.03 0.48
Goals Conceded 0.6 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Serie B
22 de Julio vs Gualaceo
0:3
Jul 18, 2026 Serie B
Gualaceo vs 22 de Julio
0:1
Apr 29, 2026 Serie B
22 de Julio vs Gualaceo
0:0
Jun 4, 2025 Serie B
Gualaceo vs 22 de Julio
2:2
Mar 26, 2025 Serie B
22 de Julio vs Gualaceo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gualaceo 85 / 100
22 de Julio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gualaceo 22 de Julio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gualaceo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

22 de Julio let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Gualaceo's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Gualaceo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gualaceo VS 22 de Julio
1.88 Goals Scored 0.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gualaceo

(Home)
27 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
0 : 1
Gualaceo
25 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 2
Independiente del Valle
19 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 0
LDU Portoviejo
10 Sept
Cumbaya
0 : 1
Gualaceo
04 Sept
22 de Julio
0 : 3
Gualaceo
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22 de Julio

(Away)
24 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
2 : 2
22 de Julio
17 Sept
22 de Julio
1 : 7
Cumbaya
12 Sept
EL Nacional
3 : 0
22 de Julio
04 Sept
22 de Julio
0 : 3
Gualaceo
27 Aug
22 de Julio
0 : 3
Dep. Santo Domingo
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