Sport Picks

Ecuador

Serie B 2021

Gualaceo

4 - 2

Atletico Porteno

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Palma L.

45'

Flores F.

66'

Flores F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gualaceo in this Serie B 2021 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gualaceo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Gualaceo

22%

Draws

18%

Atletico Porteno

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Gualaceo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Gualaceo lately — more wins on the board than Atletico Porteno.
60% — that's where the model lands on Gualaceo taking it.
Regular Serie B 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 25%

Over 2.5 Goals 20%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Gualaceo Clean Sheet 68%

Atletico Porteno Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gualaceo	Atletico Porteno
Matches Played	34	30
Wins	14	10
Draws	8	4
Losses	12	16
Goals Scored	0.75	0
Goals Conceded	1.13	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2021 Serie B

Atletico Porteno vs Gualaceo

Possession: 42% - 57% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Jul 18, 2021 Serie B

Gualaceo vs Atletico Porteno

Possession: 43% - 41% Cards: 2 - 3

4:2

May 26, 2021 Serie B

Atletico Porteno vs Gualaceo

Possession: 41% - 45% Cards: 1 - 0

3:1

Mar 24, 2021 Serie B

Gualaceo vs Atletico Porteno

Possession: 42% - 51% Cards: 0 - 0

3:0

Oct 18, 2020 Serie B

Gualaceo vs Atletico Porteno

Possession: 50% - 57% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gualaceo Compare

Top Goalscorer Flores F.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Palma L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Atletico Porteno Compare

Top Goalscorer Quinonez J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gualaceo 68 / 100

Atletico Porteno 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gualaceo Atletico Porteno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Porteno let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Gualaceo found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (34 games).

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Gualaceo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gualaceo VS -

0.75 Goals Scored 0

1.13 Goals Conceded 0

50% Over 1.5 0%

13% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cumbaya	36	20	7	9	47:36	67
2	Gualaceo	36	17	9	10	46:31	60
3	EL Nacional	36	16	11	9	49:36	59
4	Chacaritas	36	12	13	11	35:34	49
5	America de Quito	36	10	17	9	41:33	47
6	Buhos ULVR	36	14	5	17	41:53	47
7	Independiente Juniors	36	11	10	15	45:46	43
8	Atletico Santo Domingo	36	10	12	14	37:44	42
9	Atletico Porteno	36	11	6	19	46:64	39
10	LDU Portoviejo	36	9	10	17	42:52	37