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Gualaceo vs Cumbaya Prediction & H2H Stats

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Jorge Andrade, Azogues
Wed, Oct 7, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gualaceo host Cumbaya in the Serie B. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Gualaceo at 1 goals for, 0.62 against; Cumbaya at 1.18 for, 0.96 against. Past meetings favor Gualaceo slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 10, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.19, favoring Gualaceo. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Gualaceo
20%
Draws
33%
Cumbaya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gualaceo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gualaceo lately — more wins on the board than Cumbaya.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Cumbaya taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gualaceo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Gualaceo Clean Sheet 20%
Cumbaya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gualaceo Cumbaya
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 7
Draws 9 12
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.62 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Serie B
Cumbaya vs Gualaceo
0:1
Jun 10, 2026 Serie B
Gualaceo vs Cumbaya
1:0
Apr 8, 2026 Serie B
Cumbaya vs Gualaceo
1:1
Jul 8, 2025 Serie B
Gualaceo vs Cumbaya
2:0
Apr 30, 2025 Serie B
Cumbaya vs Gualaceo
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gualaceo 20 / 100
Cumbaya 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gualaceo Cumbaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cumbaya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gualaceo scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Cumbaya let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Gualaceo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gualaceo VS Cumbaya
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gualaceo

(Home)
27 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
0 : 1
Gualaceo
25 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 2
Independiente del Valle
19 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 0
LDU Portoviejo
10 Sept
Cumbaya
0 : 1
Gualaceo
04 Sept
22 de Julio
0 : 3
Gualaceo
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Cumbaya

(Away)
26 Sept
EL Nacional
0 : 3
Cumbaya
17 Sept
22 de Julio
1 : 7
Cumbaya
10 Sept
Cumbaya
0 : 1
Gualaceo
04 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
2 : 1
Cumbaya
26 Aug
Cumbaya
0 : 0
LDU Portoviejo
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