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Gualaceo vs Cumbaya Prediction & H2H Stats

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Jorge Andrade, Azogues
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Allyson
77'

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Gualaceo and Cumbaya finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gualaceo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Gualaceo
15%
Draws
32%
Cumbaya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gualaceo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gualaceo come out ahead of Cumbaya on wins alone.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Gualaceo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Gualaceo Clean Sheet 20%
Cumbaya Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gualaceo Cumbaya
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 9 12
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.62 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Serie B
Cumbaya vs Gualaceo
0:1
Jun 10, 2026 Serie B
Gualaceo vs Cumbaya
1:0
Apr 8, 2026 Serie B
Cumbaya vs Gualaceo
1:1
Jul 8, 2025 Serie B
Gualaceo vs Cumbaya
2:0
Apr 30, 2025 Serie B
Cumbaya vs Gualaceo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gualaceo Compare

Top Goalscorer Allyson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Cumbaya Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gualaceo 32 / 100
Cumbaya 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gualaceo Cumbaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cumbaya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gualaceo scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Cumbaya let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Gualaceo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gualaceo VS Cumbaya
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gualaceo

(Home)
27 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
0 : 1
Gualaceo
25 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 2
Independiente del Valle
19 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 0
LDU Portoviejo
10 Sept
Cumbaya
0 : 1
Gualaceo
04 Sept
22 de Julio
0 : 3
Gualaceo
Page 1 of 6

Cumbaya

(Away)
01 Oct
Cumbaya
0 : 3
Dep. Santo Domingo
26 Sept
EL Nacional
0 : 3
Cumbaya
17 Sept
22 de Julio
1 : 7
Cumbaya
10 Sept
Cumbaya
0 : 1
Gualaceo
04 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
2 : 1
Cumbaya
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Juniors 22 10 9 3 28:16 39
2 Atletico FC 22 9 11 2 25:14 38
3 Nueve de Octubre 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
4 CD Cuenca Juniors 22 9 7 6 20:23 34
5 Vinotinto 22 8 7 7 25:17 31
6 San Antonio 22 7 10 5 24:21 31
7 LDU Portoviejo 22 7 6 9 17:22 27
8 Cumbaya 22 5 11 6 22:22 26
9 Dep. Santo Domingo 22 6 10 6 17:16 25
10 Gualaceo 22 7 8 7 19:16 23
11 EL Nacional 22 2 6 14 15:32 9
12 22 de Julio 22 4 3 15 10:31 9
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)