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Gualaceo vs Dep. Santo Domingo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Jorge Andrade, Azogues
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gualaceo host Dep. Santo Domingo in the Serie B. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Dep. Santo Domingo have shipped 0.69 goals a game lately, while Gualaceo have conceded 0.63 and scored 1.13. Past meetings favor Gualaceo slightly — 2-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 27, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 0.88) point toward Gualaceo. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Gualaceo
30%
Draws
33%
Dep. Santo Domingo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gualaceo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gualaceo lately — more wins on the board than Dep. Santo Domingo.
  • Win probability leans Gualaceo's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Gualaceo have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Gualaceo Clean Sheet 20%
Dep. Santo Domingo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gualaceo Dep. Santo Domingo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 10 11
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.13 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie B
Dep. Santo Domingo vs Gualaceo
0:1
May 30, 2026 Serie B
Gualaceo vs Dep. Santo Domingo
1:0
Mar 28, 2026 Serie B
Dep. Santo Domingo vs Gualaceo
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gualaceo 36 / 100
Dep. Santo Domingo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gualaceo Dep. Santo Domingo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gualaceo's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Gualaceo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Dep. Santo Domingo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Scoring Trends

Gualaceo VS Dep. Santo Domingo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gualaceo

(Home)
10 Oct
Gualaceo
1 : 1
Cumbaya
03 Oct
Gualaceo
4 : 2
22 de Julio
27 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
0 : 1
Gualaceo
25 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 2
Independiente del Valle
19 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 0
LDU Portoviejo
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Dep. Santo Domingo

(Away)
08 Oct
Dep. Santo Domingo
2 : 2
LDU Portoviejo
01 Oct
Cumbaya
0 : 3
Dep. Santo Domingo
27 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
0 : 1
Gualaceo
18 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
1 : 0
EL Nacional
11 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
1 : 0
Dep. Santo Domingo
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