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Gualaceo vs Independiente del Valle Prediction & H2H Stats

Ecuador Ecuador

Copa Ecuador Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar, Cuenca
Gualaceo Logo

Gualaceo

0 - 2
FT
Independiente del Valle Logo

Independiente del Valle

Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Suarez D.
Own Goal
45'
Pata E.
46'
Sub
Lugo J. In: Caicedo K.
Out: Lugo J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gualaceo
20%
Draws
40%
Independiente del Valle
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Gualaceo haven't matched Independiente del Valle's recent run of results.
  • Gualaceo are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Independiente del Valle arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Independiente del Valle, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Independiente del Valle have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Gualaceo Clean Sheet 20%
Independiente del Valle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gualaceo Independiente del Valle
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 23
Draws 9 2
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.07 2.38
Goals Conceded 0.55 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Copa Ecuador
Gualaceo vs Independiente del Valle
0:2
Oct 9, 2025 Copa Ecuador
Gualaceo vs Independiente del Valle
0:6
Oct 8, 2023 Liga Pro
Independiente del Valle vs Gualaceo
2:0
May 6, 2023 Liga Pro
Gualaceo vs Independiente del Valle
1:2
Aug 13, 2022 Liga Pro
Independiente del Valle vs Gualaceo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gualaceo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Independiente del Valle Compare

Top Goalscorer Perello M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gualaceo 42 / 100
Independiente del Valle 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gualaceo Independiente del Valle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gualaceo found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Gualaceo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Independiente del Valle has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gualaceo VS Independiente del Valle
1.38 Goals Scored 2
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gualaceo

(Home)
27 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
0 : 1
Gualaceo
25 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 2
Independiente del Valle
19 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 0
LDU Portoviejo
10 Sept
Cumbaya
0 : 1
Gualaceo
04 Sept
22 de Julio
0 : 3
Gualaceo
Page 1 of 6

Independiente del Valle

(Away)
25 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 2
Independiente del Valle
18 Sept
Flamengo RJ
1 : 1
Independiente del Valle
13 Sept
Libertad
2 : 3
Independiente del Valle
11 Sept
Independiente del Valle
0 : 2
Flamengo RJ
05 Sept
Independiente del Valle
3 : 1
Macara
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
LDU Quito -
TBD -
Africando 1
Independiente Juniors 2
Leones del Norte -
TBD -
Huaquillas FC 1
Rio Aguarico 0
Aucas -
TBD -
Guaranda 0
San Antonio 1
Dep. Cuenca -
TBD -
La Union 1
Cumbaya 0
Emelec -
TBD -
U.D. Juvenil 0
Daquilema 2
Guayaquil City -
TBD -
Astillero 2
22 de Julio 1
U. Catolica -
TBD -
Dunamis 1
EL Nacional 5
Orense -
TBD -
Domingo TSA 1
Vinotinto 2
Independiente del Valle -
TBD -
Primero de Mayo 0
Dep. Santo Domingo 2
Manta -
TBD -
Nazareno 0
Nueve de Octubre 4
Mushuc Runa -
TBD -
Dep. Quito 0
Gualaceo 1
Macara -
TBD -
Quito 2
CD Cuenca Juniors 3
Barcelona SC -
TBD -
Insutec 4
Club Deportivo Ibarra 3
Libertad -
TBD -
Ind. Azogues 0
LDU Portoviejo 5
Delfin -
TBD -
Banos 2
Anaconda 1
Tecnico U. -
TBD -
Juventud Italiana 2
Atletico FC 1
1/16-finals
LDU Quito 2
Independiente Juniors 1
Leones del Norte 1
Huaquillas FC 0
Aucas 3
San Antonio 0
Dep. Cuenca 0
La Union 1
Emelec 0
Daquilema 1
Guayaquil City 1
Astillero 2
U. Catolica 4
EL Nacional 1
Orense 1
Vinotinto 2
Independiente del Valle 2
Dep. Santo Domingo 0
Manta 1
Nueve de Octubre 0
Mushuc Runa 0
Gualaceo 1
Macara 1
CD Cuenca Juniors 0
Barcelona SC 4
Insutec 2
Libertad 1
LDU Portoviejo 2
Delfin 2
Banos 0
Tecnico U. 0
Juventud Italiana 2
1/8-finals
LDU Quito 6
Leones del Norte 0
Aucas 2
La Union 1
Daquilema 0
Astillero 2
U. Catolica 3
Vinotinto 2
Independiente del Valle 1
Manta 0
Gualaceo 2
Macara 1
Barcelona SC 0
LDU Portoviejo 3
Delfin 1
Juventud Italiana 0
Quarter-finals
LDU Quito 1
Aucas 0
Astillero 0
U. Catolica 1
Independiente del Valle 2
Gualaceo 0
LDU Portoviejo 0
Delfin 2
Semi-finals
LDU Quito -
U. Catolica -
Independiente del Valle -
Delfin -
Final
TBD -
TBD -