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Gualaceo vs San Antonio Prediction & H2H Stats

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Jorge Andrade, Azogues
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Quintero O.
90' Event
Penarrieta J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Gualaceo
20%
Draws
7%
San Antonio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gualaceo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Gualaceo have won more games recently than San Antonio.
  • Gualaceo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Gualaceo Clean Sheet 68%
San Antonio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gualaceo San Antonio
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 9 12
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.14 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.62 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Serie B
San Antonio vs Gualaceo
2:1
May 16, 2026 Serie B
Gualaceo vs San Antonio
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Serie B
San Antonio vs Gualaceo
3:0
Sep 25, 2025 Serie B
Gualaceo vs San Antonio
2:2
Jul 2, 2025 Serie B
San Antonio vs Gualaceo
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gualaceo Compare

Top Goalscorer Penarrieta J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

San Antonio Compare

Top Goalscorer Quintero O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gualaceo 95 / 100
San Antonio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gualaceo San Antonio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gualaceo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Gualaceo's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Gualaceo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

San Antonio lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gualaceo VS San Antonio
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gualaceo

(Home)
03 Oct
Gualaceo
4 : 2
22 de Julio
27 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
0 : 1
Gualaceo
25 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 2
Independiente del Valle
19 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 0
LDU Portoviejo
10 Sept
Cumbaya
0 : 1
Gualaceo
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San Antonio

(Away)
02 Oct
San Antonio
0 : 0
Vinotinto
26 Sept
Nueve de Octubre
3 : 0
San Antonio
16 Sept
CD Cuenca Juniors
1 : 0
San Antonio
10 Sept
San Antonio
0 : 3
Atletico FC
03 Sept
Vinotinto
4 : 2
San Antonio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Juniors 22 10 9 3 28:16 39
2 Atletico FC 22 9 11 2 25:14 38
3 Nueve de Octubre 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
4 CD Cuenca Juniors 22 9 7 6 20:23 34
5 Vinotinto 22 8 7 7 25:17 31
6 San Antonio 22 7 10 5 24:21 31
7 LDU Portoviejo 22 7 6 9 17:22 27
8 Cumbaya 22 5 11 6 22:22 26
9 Dep. Santo Domingo 22 6 10 6 17:16 25
10 Gualaceo 22 7 8 7 19:16 23
11 EL Nacional 22 2 6 14 15:32 9
12 22 de Julio 22 4 3 15 10:31 9
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)