Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guanabara City vs Bom Jesus

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guanabara City play Bom Jesus in the Goiano 3. It looks like a close match. Recently, Guanabara City averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. Bom Jesus averaged 3 goals scored and 0.45 conceded. In past meetings, Guanabara City won 0, Bom Jesus won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 3, 2025 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Guanabara City and 2.00 for Bom Jesus. This points to a Bom Jesus double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Guanabara City
18%
Draws
52%
Bom Jesus
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Bom Jesus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Guanabara City picked up more points recently compared to Bom Jesus.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Guanabara City Clean Sheet 10%
Bom Jesus Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guanabara City Bom Jesus
Matches Played 23 11
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 2
Losses 8 0
Goals Scored 1.43 3
Goals Conceded 1.09 0.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2025 Goiano 3
Guanabara City vs Bom Jesus
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guanabara City 29 / 100
Bom Jesus 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guanabara City Bom Jesus

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bom Jesus or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Guanabara City attacking → ← attacking Bom Jesus

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guanabara City scored in 78% of their last 23 games.

Bom Jesus let in goals in 45% of their last 11 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Guanabara City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bom Jesus lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 29
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 3.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bom Jesus1192033:529
2Mineiros1190223:627
3Crixas1174017:325
4ABD FC1172231:423
5America GO1163217:921
6Guanabara City1161422:1319
7Santa Helena1133517:1812
8Aparecida EC1123611:129
9Pires do Rio1123615:229
10Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV)1121810:347
11Rioverdense1110107:403
12Itumbiara1110109:463