Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guanabara City vs Rio Verde

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 3 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guanabara City play Rio Verde in the Goiano 3 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Guanabara City averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1 conceded. Rio Verde averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Guanabara City won 0, Rio Verde won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 26, 2024 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Guanabara City and 1.00 for Rio Verde. This points to a Rio Verde double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Guanabara City
33%
Draws
27%
Rio Verde
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Guanabara City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Rio Verde has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Guanabara City.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Guanabara City.
  • Cup tournament structure in Goiano 3 2024 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Guanabara City Clean Sheet 68%
Rio Verde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guanabara City Rio Verde
Matches Played 23 34
Wins 11 17
Draws 4 9
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 2.13 1
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2024 Goiano 3
Rio Verde vs Guanabara City
4:0
Oct 18, 2024 Goiano 3
Guanabara City vs Rio Verde
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guanabara City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Rio Verde Compare

Top Goalscorer Leopoldino C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Emerson Machado
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guanabara City 50 / 100
Rio Verde 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guanabara City Rio Verde

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guanabara City scored in 78% of their last 23 games.

Rio Verde let in goals in 59% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Guanabara City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Rio Verde lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guanabara City VS Rio Verde
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Guanabara City2
Mineiros1
Rio Verde6
Uruacu2
Itumbiara3
Aparecida EC2
Bela Vista FC1
Tupy FC4
Semi-finals
Guanabara City0
Rio Verde6
Itumbiara1
Tupy FC5
Final
Rio Verde4
Tupy FC3