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Guangdong Mingtu vs Kunming City Star

China China

League Two 2025 Huadu Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guangdong Mingtu play Kunming City Star in the League Two 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Guangdong Mingtu averaged 0.94 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. Kunming City Star averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Guangdong Mingtu won 0, Kunming City Star won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 27, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Guangdong Mingtu and 1.75 for Kunming City Star. This points to a Guangdong Mingtu double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Guangdong Mingtu
33%
Draws
29%
Kunming City Star
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Guangdong Mingtu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Guangdong Mingtu picked up more points recently compared to Kunming City Star.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Guangdong Mingtu Clean Sheet 12%
Kunming City Star Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 56%
Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guangdong Mingtu Kunming City Star
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 12 9
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.94 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2025 League Two
Guangdong Mingtu vs Kunming City Star
1:1
May 17, 2025 League Two
Kunming City Star vs Guangdong Mingtu
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guangdong Mingtu Compare

Top Goalscorer He J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Kunming City Star Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guangdong Mingtu 37 / 100
Kunming City Star 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guangdong Mingtu Kunming City Star

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Guangdong Mingtu or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Guangdong Mingtu attacking → ← attacking Kunming City Star

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guangdong Mingtu scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Kunming City Star let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Guangdong Mingtu went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kunming City Star lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 27
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Wuxi Wugou22136331:1445
2Shandong Taishan B22109336:2239
3Nantong Haimen22108438:2438
4Changchun Xidu22108419:1138
5Jiangxi Lushan22105725:2235
6Hangzhou Linping2288624:2632
7Taian Tiankuang22751022:2526
8Shanghai Port B2267925:2625
9Shanxi Chongde Ronghai2258917:3223
10Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic22571021:3222
11Beijing Technology22521521:2917
12Hubei Istar22371223:3916
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Guangxi Hengchen22183147:957
2Shenzhen 202822146230:1348
3Chengdu Rongcheng B22124639:2040
4Guizhou Guiyang22123733:2539
5Guangzhou Dandelion22115631:1838
6Wuhan Three Towns B2285921:2029
7Wenzhou Professional2268821:2726
8Ganzhou Ruishi22411718:2823
9Guangdong Mingtu22481020:3220
10Kunming City Star22471115:3119
11Quanzhou Yassin22361313:3015
12Guangxi Lanhang22061610:456