Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guangdong Mingtu vs Shanghai Second

China China

League Two Guangdong Provincial People's Stadium, Guangzhou
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
He J.
46'
Sub
Zhu Xinyu In: Qu J.
Out: Zhu Xinyu
46'
Sub
Yu Yanfeng In: Wang Jiahao
Out: Yu Yanfeng

AI Match Summary

Guangdong Mingtu in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guangdong Mingtu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Guangdong Mingtu
35%
Draws
13%
Shanghai Second
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guangdong Mingtu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Guangdong Mingtu have won more games recently than Shanghai Second.
  • Win probability leans Guangdong Mingtu's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Guangdong Mingtu Clean Sheet 68%
Shanghai Second Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guangdong Mingtu Shanghai Second
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 8 4
Draws 11 9
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.93 0.96
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 League Two
Guangdong Mingtu vs Shanghai Second
1:0
Apr 19, 2026 FA Cup
Shanghai Second vs Guangdong Mingtu
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guangdong Mingtu Compare

Top Goalscorer He J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Shanghai Second Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guangdong Mingtu 95 / 100
Shanghai Second 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guangdong Mingtu Shanghai Second

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guangdong Mingtu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shanghai Second's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 26 matches.

Attacking prowess: Guangdong Mingtu scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Guangdong Mingtu stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Shanghai Second has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guangdong Mingtu VS Shanghai Second
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guangdong Mingtu

(Home)
12 Sept
Guangdong Mingtu
1 : 0
Shanghai Second
23 Aug
Hangzhou Linping
1 : 0
Guangdong Mingtu
16 Aug
Guangdong Mingtu
3 : 0
Wuhan Three Towns B
09 Aug
Guangdong Mingtu
0 : 0
Wenzhou Professional
01 Aug
Hubei Istar
0 : 0
Guangdong Mingtu
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Shanghai Second

(Away)
12 Sept
Guangdong Mingtu
1 : 0
Shanghai Second
22 Aug
Taian Tiankuang
2 : 2
Shanghai Second
15 Aug
Shanghai Second
0 : 2
Nantong Haimen
08 Aug
Beijing Technology
2 : 1
Shanghai Second
02 Aug
Shanghai Second
1 : 1
Changchun Xidu
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