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Guangdong Mingtu vs Wuhan Three Towns B Prediction & H2H Stats

China China

League Two Guangdong Provincial People's Stadium, Guangzhou
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Cai M.
Assist: Wang Tanyou
32' Event
He J.
Assist: Gu Zhiwei
46'
Sub
Ruan Jingyang In: Abdugheni Halit
Out: Ruan Jingyang

AI Match Summary

Guangdong Mingtu in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guangdong Mingtu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Guangdong Mingtu
30%
Draws
23%
Wuhan Three Towns B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guangdong Mingtu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Guangdong Mingtu have won more games recently than Wuhan Three Towns B.
  • Win probability leans Guangdong Mingtu's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Guangdong Mingtu Clean Sheet 68%
Wuhan Three Towns B Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guangdong Mingtu Wuhan Three Towns B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 5
Draws 12 10
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 0.9 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 League Two
Guangdong Mingtu vs Wuhan Three Towns B
3:0
May 27, 2026 League Two
Wuhan Three Towns B vs Guangdong Mingtu
0:1
Jul 1, 2025 League Two
Guangdong Mingtu vs Wuhan Three Towns B
2:3
Apr 26, 2025 League Two
Wuhan Three Towns B vs Guangdong Mingtu
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guangdong Mingtu Compare

Top Goalscorer Cai M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader He J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Wuhan Three Towns B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guangdong Mingtu 86 / 100
Wuhan Three Towns B 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guangdong Mingtu Wuhan Three Towns B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guangdong Mingtu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Guangdong Mingtu scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Wuhan Three Towns B let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Guangdong Mingtu stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guangdong Mingtu VS Wuhan Three Towns B
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guangdong Mingtu

(Home)
18 Sept
Changchun Xidu
0 : 0
Guangdong Mingtu
12 Sept
Guangdong Mingtu
1 : 0
Shanghai Second
23 Aug
Hangzhou Linping
1 : 0
Guangdong Mingtu
16 Aug
Guangdong Mingtu
3 : 0
Wuhan Three Towns B
09 Aug
Guangdong Mingtu
0 : 0
Wenzhou Professional
Page 1 of 6

Wuhan Three Towns B

(Away)
18 Sept
Wuhan Three Towns B
0 : 2
Nantong Haimen
12 Sept
Taian Tiankuang
0 : 0
Wuhan Three Towns B
23 Aug
Wuhan Three Towns B
4 : 0
Ganzhou Ruishi
16 Aug
Guangdong Mingtu
3 : 0
Wuhan Three Towns B
08 Aug
Wuhan Three Towns B
0 : 2
Jiangxi Lushan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shandong Taishan B 22 12 5 5 33:21 41
2 Shanghai Port B 22 12 4 6 36:19 40
3 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 22 12 4 6 29:17 40
4 Dalian Kewei 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
5 Taian Tiankuang 22 8 7 7 25:23 31
6 Dalian Yingbo B 22 6 10 6 21:22 28
7 Nantong Haimen 22 5 11 6 25:23 26
8 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 22 4 14 4 13:16 26
9 Qingdao Red Lions 22 5 10 7 22:20 25
10 Changchun Xidu 22 3 11 8 15:28 20
11 Beijing Technology 22 3 7 12 21:42 16
12 Shanghai Second 22 2 9 11 22:39 15
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guizhou Guiyang 22 13 3 6 32:17 42
2 Shenzhen 2028 22 10 7 5 37:25 37
3 Jiangxi Lushan 22 10 5 7 25:19 35
4 Hangzhou Linping 22 8 10 4 25:28 34
5 Hubei Istar 22 9 7 6 29:23 34
6 Xiamen Feilu 22 7 8 7 29:28 29
7 Guangdong Mingtu 22 5 11 6 22:20 26
8 Ganzhou Ruishi 22 6 8 8 19:32 26
9 Guangzhou Dandelion 22 6 7 9 22:28 25
10 Chengdu Rongcheng B 22 5 7 10 18:24 22
11 Wenzhou Professional 22 4 10 8 15:23 22
12 Wuhan Three Towns B 22 4 7 11 20:26 19
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)