Sport Picks

Guangxi Hengchen vs Changchun Yatai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China

League One Guangxi Sports Center, Nanning

Changchun Yatai

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guangxi Hengchen host Changchun Yatai in the League One. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Guangxi Hengchen have averaged 1.61 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against Changchun Yatai's 1.39 scored and 1.71 conceded. Past meetings favor Guangxi Hengchen slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 27, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.19, favoring Guangxi Hengchen. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Guangxi Hengchen

20%

Draws

38%

Changchun Yatai

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guangxi Hengchen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence

Guangxi Hengchen carry the better recent record into this one.
42% — that's where the model lands on Guangxi Hengchen taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Guangxi Hengchen Clean Sheet 20%

Changchun Yatai Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Guangxi Hengchen	Changchun Yatai
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	14	10
Draws	6	4
Losses	8	14
Goals Scored	1.61	1.39
Goals Conceded	1.21	1.71
Expected Goals (xG)	1.19	1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 League One

Changchun Yatai vs Guangxi Hengchen

1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guangxi Hengchen 49 / 100

Changchun Yatai 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Guangxi Hengchen Changchun Yatai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guangxi Hengchen Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Changchun Yatai let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Guangxi Hengchen scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Guangxi Hengchen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guangxi Hengchen VS Changchun Yatai

1.25 Goals Scored 1.5

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13

50% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History