Sport Picks
Guangxi Hengchen vs Dingnan Ganlian - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
China
League One Guangxi Sports Center, Nanning 
Match Events
16'
16'
Mbo N.
Assist: Ardazishvili R.
19'
19'
Hao Yucheng
24'
24'
Mbo N.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this League One matchup, with the score ending 4-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
20%
15%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guangxi Hengchen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Guangxi Hengchen lately — more wins on the board than Dingnan Ganlian.
- Guangxi Hengchen are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Guangxi Hengchen Clean Sheet 68%
Dingnan Ganlian Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guangxi Hengchen | Dingnan Ganlian |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 13 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 League One
Guangxi Hengchen vs Dingnan Ganlian
4:4
Mar 14, 2026 League One
Dingnan Ganlian vs Guangxi Hengchen
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guangxi Hengchen Compare
Top Goalscorer Mbo N.
2 Goals Assists Leader Chen D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Dingnan Ganlian Compare
Top Goalscorer Hao Yucheng
1 Goals Assists Leader Zhang Zimin
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guangxi Hengchen 68 / 100
Dingnan Ganlian 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guangxi Hengchen Dingnan Ganlian
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guangxi Hengchen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Dingnan Ganlian conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.
Guangxi Hengchen's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Solid form: Guangxi Hengchen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Guangxi Hengchen VS Dingnan Ganlian
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Guangxi Hengchen
(Home) 07 Oct
Foshan Nanshi
1 : 0 Guangxi Hengchen
25 Sept
Wuxi Wugou
0 : 1 Guangxi Hengchen
18 Sept
Nantong Zhiyun
0 : 1 Guangxi Hengchen
12 Sept
Guangxi Hengchen
2 : 1 Yanbian Longding
06 Sept
Guangxi Hengchen
0 : 1 Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Guangxi Hengchen
2 : 1 Yanbian Longding
06 Sept
Guangxi Hengchen
0 : 1 Shijiazhuang Gongfu
22 Aug
Guangxi Hengchen
3 : 3 Suzhou Dongwu
15 Aug
Guangxi Hengchen
1 : 0 Meizhou Hakka
26 Jul
Guangxi Hengchen
4 : 4 Dingnan Ganlian
Page 1 of 3
Dingnan Ganlian
(Away) 06 Oct
Dingnan Ganlian
0 : 0 Meizhou Hakka
19 Sept
Dingnan Ganlian
1 : 1 Foshan Nanshi
12 Sept
Changchun Yatai
1 : 0 Dingnan Ganlian
05 Sept
Shaanxi Union
2 : 1 Dingnan Ganlian
29 Aug
Dingnan Ganlian
3 : 4 Suzhou Dongwu
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Changchun Yatai
1 : 0 Dingnan Ganlian
05 Sept
Shaanxi Union
2 : 1 Dingnan Ganlian
16 Aug
Nanjing City
1 : 1 Dingnan Ganlian
01 Aug
Nantong Zhiyun
5 : 1 Dingnan Ganlian
26 Jul
Guangxi Hengchen
4 : 4 Dingnan Ganlian
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 52:21 | 57 |
| 2 | Nantong Zhiyun | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 34:20 | 45 |
| 3 | Guangxi Hengchen | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 40:27 | 45 |
| 4 | Shenzhen Juniors | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40:29 | 44 |
| 5 | Shaanxi Union | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 42:27 | 39 |
| 6 | Wuxi Wugou | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:31 | 36 |
| 7 | Yanbian Longding | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 34:28 | 36 |
| 8 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 23:25 | 35 |
| 9 | Changchun Yatai | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 39:42 | 31 |
| 10 | Dalian Kun City | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:38 | 30 |
| 11 | Ningbo Professional | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 27:31 | 29 |
| 12 | Suzhou Dongwu | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 30:35 | 28 |
| 13 | Dingnan Ganlian | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 35:46 | 24 |
| 14 | Meizhou Hakka | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 25:53 | 22 |
| 15 | Nanjing City | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 21:37 | 21 |
| 16 | Foshan Nanshi | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 25:49 | 16 |
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Relegation - League Two 2027 (Main)
