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Guangxi Lanhang vs Guangdong Mingtu

China China

League Two 2025 Dongxing Sports Center
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AI Match Summary

Guangxi Lanhang play Guangdong Mingtu in the League Two 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Guangxi Lanhang averaged 0.53 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. Guangdong Mingtu averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. In past meetings, Guangxi Lanhang won 0, Guangdong Mingtu won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 3, 2025 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Guangxi Lanhang and 2.44 for Guangdong Mingtu. This points to a Guangdong Mingtu double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Guangxi Lanhang
30%
Draws
55%
Guangdong Mingtu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guangdong Mingtu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Guangxi Lanhang picked up more points recently compared to Guangdong Mingtu.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 2.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Guangxi Lanhang Clean Sheet 10%
Guangdong Mingtu Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guangxi Lanhang Guangdong Mingtu
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 0 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 0.53 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2025 League Two
Guangxi Lanhang vs Guangdong Mingtu
1:2
May 25, 2025 League Two
Guangdong Mingtu vs Guangxi Lanhang
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guangxi Lanhang Compare

Top Goalscorer Wei Feng
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Guangdong Mingtu Compare

Top Goalscorer He J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zhao C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guangxi Lanhang 16 / 100
Guangdong Mingtu 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guangxi Lanhang Guangdong Mingtu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guangdong Mingtu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Guangdong Mingtu & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Guangxi Lanhang attacking → ← attacking Guangdong Mingtu

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guangxi Lanhang scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Guangdong Mingtu let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Guangxi Lanhang went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Guangdong Mingtu lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

8 Points in last 5 31
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
4.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Wuxi Wugou22136331:1445
2Shandong Taishan B22109336:2239
3Nantong Haimen22108438:2438
4Changchun Xidu22108419:1138
5Jiangxi Lushan22105725:2235
6Hangzhou Linping2288624:2632
7Taian Tiankuang22751022:2526
8Shanghai Port B2267925:2625
9Shanxi Chongde Ronghai2258917:3223
10Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic22571021:3222
11Beijing Technology22521521:2917
12Hubei Istar22371223:3916
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Guangxi Hengchen22183147:957
2Shenzhen 202822146230:1348
3Chengdu Rongcheng B22124639:2040
4Guizhou Guiyang22123733:2539
5Guangzhou Dandelion22115631:1838
6Wuhan Three Towns B2285921:2029
7Wenzhou Professional2268821:2726
8Ganzhou Ruishi22411718:2823
9Guangdong Mingtu22481020:3220
10Kunming City Star22471115:3119
11Quanzhou Yassin22361313:3015
12Guangxi Lanhang22061610:456