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Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) vs Yuen Long Prediction & H2H Stats

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Sapling Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) in this Sapling Cup 2019/2020 tie, finishing 5-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
30%
Draws
29%
Yuen Long
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Yuen Long haven't matched Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)'s recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong), who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) Clean Sheet 20%
Yuen Long Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) Yuen Long
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 17 6
Draws 4 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.83 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2020 Premier League
Yuen Long vs Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
0:0
Jan 5, 2020 Sapling Cup
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) vs Yuen Long
5:1
Oct 26, 2019 Sapling Cup
Yuen Long vs Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
2:2
Oct 19, 2019 Premier League
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) vs Yuen Long
8:0
Feb 24, 2019 Premier League
Yuen Long vs Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) 31 / 100
Yuen Long 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) Yuen Long

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yuen Long has conceded goals in 88% of their last 24 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) VS Yuen Long
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 13%
50% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)

(Home)
11 Oct
Eastern AA
0 : 0
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
05 Oct
Lee Man Warriors
0 : 1
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
01 Oct
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
2 : 3
Kitchee
28 Sept
Eastern AA
2 : 0
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
25 Sept
Happy Valley
2 : 5
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
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Yuen Long

(Away)
12 Mar
Yuen Long
4 : 5
Pegasus
29 Feb
Tai Po
2 : 2
Yuen Long
15 Feb
Yuen Long
4 : 3
Happy Valley
12 Feb
Yuen Long
1 : 2
Southern District
19 Jan
Happy Valley
1 : 1
Yuen Long
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kitchee 8 6 1 1 20:6 19
2 Eastern AA 8 5 1 2 14:5 16
3 Pegasus 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Lee Man Warriors 8 2 1 5 17:22 7
5 Hong Kong Rangers 8 1 1 6 10:27 4
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Southern District 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
2 Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) 8 4 1 3 18:12 13
3 Yuen Long 8 3 3 2 19:17 12
4 Happy Valley 8 2 2 4 13:17 8
5 Tai Po 8 1 3 4 18:25 6
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)