Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guapo M19 U20 vs Royal U20

Brazil Brazil

Goiano U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guapo M19 U20 play Royal U20 in the Goiano U20 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Guapo M19 U20 averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. Royal U20 averaged 1 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Guapo M19 U20 won 1, Royal U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 1, 2024 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Guapo M19 U20 and 0.93 for Royal U20. This points to a Royal U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Guapo M19 U20
31%
Draws
41%
Royal U20
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Royal U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Guapo M19 U20 picked up more points recently compared to Royal U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 0.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Guapo M19 U20 Clean Sheet 24%
Royal U20 Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guapo M19 U20 Royal U20
Matches Played 11 31
Wins 1 11
Draws 4 9
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.18 1
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2024 Goiano U20
Guapo M19 U20 vs Royal U20
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guapo M19 U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Leonilson Viana
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barbosa
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Royal U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guapo M19 U20 30 / 100
Royal U20 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guapo M19 U20 Royal U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Royal U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Guapo M19 U20 attacking → ← attacking Royal U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guapo M19 U20 scored in 73% of their last 11 games.

Royal U20 let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Guapo M19 U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Royal U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

7 Points in last 5 42
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vila Nova FC U201173127:1124
2Goias U201164126:1022
3Atletico GO U201164123:922
4Trindade U201153316:1418
5Aparecidense U201144315:1416
6Guanabara City U201136219:1615
7Aparecida EC U201136212:1215
8Jataiense U201141611:2213
9Cerrado EC U201124510:1510
10Royal U20112367:169
11Guapo M19 U201114613:197
12Itaberai U20111289:305